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Prediction published on Oct 26, 2026 11:33 PM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Oct 26, 2026 11:33 PM
FC Cajamarca host UTC Cajamarca in Peru’s Primera Division on October 28, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:15 local time. The meeting brings together two teams struggling for results: FC Cajamarca are 15th and seeking to strengthen their position in the relegation fight, while 18th-placed UTC arrive on a prolonged winless run. Both have found clean sheets difficult to secure, making their defensive records a central part of this match preview. FC Cajamarca have conceded in 29 of their last 30 league matches, and UTC have allowed at least one goal in each of their last 17 league away games.
FC Cajamarca go into this fixture after a 4-2 defeat to Sport Boys on October 25. Their last five matches have produced one win, one draw and three losses, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded per game. The chance to respond at home is important for a side that has struggled to put together positive results, but home advantage has not brought defensive security: FC Cajamarca have conceded at least once in their last 15 home matches in the Primera Division.
Across 30 league games, FC Cajamarca have recorded seven wins, seven draws and 16 defeats. They average 1.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, having let in 57 goals in total. That contrast between their scoring and defensive figures helps explain why their matches have frequently offered opportunities at both ends. In eight of their last 10 fixtures, both teams scored and the total passed 2.5 goals. Another concession against UTC would extend an already lengthy league sequence without a clean sheet, so their ability to limit chances will matter as much as their attacking output.
UTC Cajamarca also come into the match following a defeat, having lost 2-1 to Melgar on October 23. They have taken no points from their last five games, scoring an average of 0.8 goals and conceding 1.8 per match in that stretch. Their wider league run is even more difficult: UTC have not won in 24 Primera Division matches and have lost their last nine in the competition. Their season record stands at four wins, eight draws and 18 defeats, with averages of 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Keeping opponents out has been a persistent problem for the visitors. UTC have conceded in 25 of their last 27 league matches, as well as in each of their last 17 league away fixtures. They have also failed to win at half-time in their last 20 away league games and have trailed at the interval in eight of their last 11 away matches. Those figures put particular weight on how they begin this contest: another difficult first half would leave them needing a response against opponents who, despite their own defensive issues, have scored more regularly over the season.
UTC’s recent results do not mean they have stopped contributing goals to their matches. Both teams have scored in seven of their last nine league fixtures, while five of their last seven games have finished with a goal for each side. That pattern sits alongside their long run of concessions and suggests that their attacking contribution remains relevant when assessing this fixture, even though their losing streak makes a positive result hard to take for granted.
The home side’s stronger league record gives FC Cajamarca an opportunity to end their poor run, but neither team has the recent defensive record to make a clean sheet appear straightforward. FC Cajamarca have conceded in almost every league match across their last 30, while UTC have gone 17 league away games without preventing their opponents from scoring. At the other end, FC Cajamarca average 1.4 goals per league game and UTC average 1.1, providing a basis for a match in which both attacks could play a part.
There is also evidence for goals beyond the defensive streaks. Eight of FC Cajamarca’s last 10 matches have featured both teams scoring and more than 2.5 goals, while five of UTC’s last seven games have seen both sides find the net. The most recent head-to-head finished 3-1 on June 26, 2026, although the overall head-to-head summary is evenly split at one win apiece. That balance offers little reason to rely on the previous meetings alone when judging the result here.
The key question is whether FC Cajamarca can turn their home fixture into a win without allowing UTC a route back into the game. UTC’s nine consecutive league defeats underline the challenge facing the visitors, yet FC Cajamarca’s sequence of home concessions keeps the possibility of goals at both ends firmly in view. Recent scoring patterns for both clubs point more clearly towards each side finding the net than towards a confident call on the final result.
FC Cajamarca vs UTC Cajamarca prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
2
8
4
6
3.5
4
6
6
4
4.5
5
5
7
3