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FC Den Bosch
6:00 PM
September 18, 2026
Helmond Sport
Prediction published on Sep 16, 2026 6:28 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Sep 16, 2026 6:28 PM
FC Den Bosch welcome Helmond Sport to Stadion De Vliert on Friday, September 18, with the Eerste Divisie fixture scheduled to kick off at 18:00 local time. The seventh-round contest brings together two teams that have struggled for consistency, although the visitors have made the stronger start. FC Den Bosch are 17th after recording one win, one draw and four defeats, while Helmond Sport sit 12th with two victories, two draws and two losses. Only one percentage point separates the teams in the win probabilities, underlining how competitive this match could be. Their recent games have regularly produced goals, but the head-to-head record presents a very different pattern and points toward another closely fought encounter.
FC Den Bosch enter this home match after a difficult sequence of results. They have collected only one victory from their last five games, losing the other four. Their latest outing ended in a 2-0 defeat against FC Volendam on September 13. Before that result, the team had also suffered losses against Heracles Almelo, Vitesse and Jong PSV, with a 5-2 victory over FC Eindhoven providing the only success during the five-match period.
The numbers highlight why FC Den Bosch have found it hard to build momentum. Across their last five matches, they have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. Their broader Eerste Divisie record is similarly unbalanced, with an average of 1.7 goals for and 2.5 against per game. They have therefore shown that they can contribute in attack, but their rate of concession has repeatedly left them under pressure.
Home scoring form offers the hosts some encouragement. FC Den Bosch have found the net in each of their last 15 home matches, including their previous 12 home fixtures in the Eerste Divisie. However, they have also conceded at least once in each of their last 14 matches, with that run extending across their last 12 league games. Those combined trends suggest that the hosts are capable of responding offensively without being able to rely on defensive control.
Helmond Sport make the trip after defeating Jong PSV 3-1 on September 11. That result followed an inconsistent stretch in which they lost to Roda JC, drew 1-1 with RKC Waalwijk, were beaten 3-2 by Jong Ajax and then secured a 4-2 victory over VVV-Venlo. Their last five matches have consequently produced two wins, one draw and two defeats.
The visitors have carried a clear attacking threat throughout that sequence, averaging 2.2 goals per match across their latest five appearances. They have conceded an average of 1.8 in the same period, meaning their recent fixtures have contained four total goals per game on average. Their season figures are only slightly lower: Helmond Sport average 2.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded in the Eerste Divisie.
With two victories, two draws and two defeats, Helmond Sport have obtained a more balanced set of results than their hosts. Their consecutive wins over VVV-Venlo and Jong PSV also provide a positive immediate platform for this trip. Both victories featured at least four goals, but the visitors now face an opponent against whom their historical record has been less convincing.
The most notable feature of this fixture is the contrast between current scoring trends and the historical head-to-head numbers. The latest meeting finished 2-0 on February 6, 2026. Across the available head-to-head summary, FC Den Bosch have recorded two wins, Helmond Sport one, and two games have ended level. The corresponding averages stand at only 0.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded from FC Den Bosch’s perspective, indicating that meetings between these sides have generally been tight.
Recent form points in another direction. FC Den Bosch’s last five matches have featured average combined totals of 4.6 goals, while Helmond Sport’s corresponding average is 4.0. The hosts have conceded in 14 successive matches and Helmond Sport arrive after scoring seven goals across two consecutive victories. At the same time, FC Den Bosch’s long home scoring run gives them a credible route into the game despite their four defeats in five.
The result market is exceptionally balanced: FC Den Bosch are assigned a 38% win probability, Helmond Sport stand at 37%, and the draw is rated at 25%. This narrow split makes it difficult to identify a clear favorite. The goals data provide a stronger direction, with Both Teams To Score rated at 61% and Over 2.5 goals at 59%. Although the low-scoring head-to-head history deserves consideration, the current defensive and attacking averages support the possibility of both sides contributing.
Much may depend on whether FC Den Bosch can improve their defensive output while preserving their reliable home scoring record. Helmond Sport have the better recent sequence and arrive with consecutive wins, but their average of 1.8 goals conceded over the last five matches leaves room for the hosts to respond. With both sides regularly involved in open games, a goal for each team is the conclusion most consistent with the broader current data.
FC Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 61% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Den Bosch
Helmond Sport
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
5
5
7
3
4.5
7
3
8
2