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FC Den Bosch
6:00 PM
October 23, 2026
MVV Maastricht
Prediction published on Oct 21, 2026 6:15 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Oct 21, 2026 6:15 PM
FC Den Bosch host MVV Maastricht at Stadion De Vliert on Friday, October 23, with kick-off at 18:00 local time. The Eerste Divisie fixture brings together two teams separated by just two points after 11 matches: Den Bosch are 12th with 14 points, while MVV sit ninth with 16. Their recent results tell a different story, however. Den Bosch have won three of their last five games, whereas MVV have lost four of theirs and conceded heavily. The visitors won their first four matches of the season but have collected only four points from the seven that followed. This FC Den Bosch vs MVV Maastricht preview looks at whether the hosts can maintain their improved form against a side searching for a response.
FC Den Bosch have taken three wins, one draw and one defeat from their last five matches. They beat TOP Oss 2-1 on October 16, having also recorded victories over Jong AZ by 1-0 and Helmond Sport by 2-1 during that five-game run. Their other results were a 1-1 draw with FC Dordrecht and a 1-0 defeat to De Graafschap. Across those five fixtures, Den Bosch averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match.
Their full league record stands at four wins, two draws and five defeats. Season-long averages of 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game show why their more recent defensive numbers are notable. At home, Den Bosch have scored in 18 consecutive matches, including their last 15 home games in the Eerste Divisie. Each of their last 10 home fixtures has produced more than 1.5 total goals, and both teams scored in all 10.
That scoring consistency has not been matched by a long sequence of clean sheets. Den Bosch have conceded at least once in 29 of their last 31 matches, including 26 of their last 28 in the Eerste Divisie. Their recent five-game record offers encouragement before MVV's visit, but the wider figures suggest the hosts may still have to score to overcome any defensive setback.
MVV Maastricht began the season with four straight victories, but their results have changed sharply since then. They have taken four points from the next seven games and have lost four of their last five. Their only win in that five-match stretch was a 2-0 home result against Helmond Sport. Defeats to RKC, TOP Oss, NAC Breda and Heracles Almelo followed or surrounded that success, with the latest a 1-5 loss to Heracles Almelo on October 18.
MVV's last five matches have brought averages of 1.0 goal scored and 3.2 conceded per game. Across 11 Eerste Divisie fixtures, they have five wins, one draw and five defeats, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. They have let in 25 goals so far. Although they remain above Den Bosch in the standings, that recent rate of concession presents a clear challenge for this trip.
The away figures add to that concern: MVV have conceded in 19 of their last 20 away matches and have not been ahead at half-time in 19 of those 20. There has been at least one first-half goal in 18 of their last 20 away fixtures, though that statistic refers to goals by either team, not necessarily MVV. For the visitors, the task is to recover from their latest defeat while finding a way to contain a Den Bosch side that has scored regularly at home.
The league positions make this look close on paper, with MVV two points ahead, but the recent form favors FC Den Bosch. The hosts have won three of five while conceding an average of less than one goal per game over that period. MVV, by contrast, have lost four of five and allowed an average of more than three goals per match. Their respective results give Den Bosch an opportunity to build on the 2-1 win over TOP Oss.
Goals at the home end are also a prominent theme. Den Bosch's run of 10 home matches in which both sides scored suggests this may not be a straightforward defensive contest, particularly given how often the hosts have conceded across their longer run of fixtures. MVV's record of conceding in 19 of 20 away matches points to chances for Den Bosch, while the visitors have their own reason to take confidence from past meetings: from Den Bosch's perspective, the five-match head-to-head summary reads one win, one draw and three defeats. The most recent meeting finished 1-2 on January 18, 2026.
Those head-to-head figures provide a counterpoint, but current results and MVV's recent defensive record give the home side the stronger case going into Friday's match. Den Bosch's consistent home scoring is the key factor; whether they can turn it into another victory may depend on managing the defensive vulnerability that also appears in their longer-term statistics.
FC Den Bosch vs MVV Maastricht prediction from BetMines: FC Den Bosch win (1) with 66% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Den Bosch
MVV Maastricht
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
6
4
5
5
4.5
7
3
6
4