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Prediction published on Nov 26, 2025 8:03 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Nov 26, 2025 8:03 PM
The Keuken Kampioen Divisie continues this weekend with another full round of fixtures, and one of the most intriguing clashes will take place on Friday, November 28, when FC Den Bosch host Willem II in the 18th round of the Dutch second division. Both teams are level on points and sit side by side in the standings, making this encounter a direct battle for a place in the top six. Den Bosch currently occupy sixth position with 26 points, while Willem II are seventh, trailing only on goal difference. The home side have scored and conceded exactly the same number of goals this season, while the visitors’ negative goal balance reflects their inconsistency since being relegated from the Eredivisie last year.
FC Den Bosch have shown flashes of quality in recent weeks but remain unpredictable. Their last five matches across all competitions produced two wins, one draw, and two defeats. They began this run with a dramatic 4-3 penalty shootout victory over ADO Den Haag in the KNVB Cup, followed by a narrow 1-2 league loss to De Graafschap. The team bounced back impressively with a 1-3 win at FC Eindhoven and a thrilling 5-2 triumph over Almere City FC, before falling again on Monday in a 3-2 defeat to Jong FC Utrecht.
Despite their inconsistency, Den Bosch remain one of the most entertaining sides in the division. Their matches average 2.1 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per game, underlining their attacking intent but also their defensive fragility. They have scored in nearly every fixture this season, and notably, at least one goal has been scored in the second half of each of their last 19 league matches. Corners are also a regular feature in their games, with over 9.5 corners recorded in 28 of their last 30 matches. These trends suggest that Den Bosch’s home fixtures rarely lack action, even if the results themselves have been mixed.
Willem II arrive in Den Bosch after a morale-boosting 0-2 away win at VVV-Venlo on November 21, a result that ended a four-match winless streak. Before that, the Tilburg side had drawn 1-1 against both TOP Oss and FC Emmen, and lost narrowly 2-1 to Jong PSV. They also enjoyed a huge 7-0 victory over FC Dordrecht in the KNVB Cup, showing that when their attack clicks, they can be devastating.
Under pressure to return to the Eredivisie, Willem II have struggled for consistency but remain competitive. Their season record stands at 7 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Defensively, they have improved in recent weeks, conceding just 0.8 goals per game across their last five fixtures. Away from home, they have been solid, and their matches tend to produce plenty of corners — over 7.5 corners have been taken in 19 of their last 20 away games. This suggests a dynamic style of play that often leads to end-to-end action.
Friday’s meeting at the Stadion De Vliert promises to be a tightly contested affair between two sides with similar strengths and weaknesses. Both teams are level on points, both score regularly, and both have defensive vulnerabilities that could make this an open game. Historically, however, Willem II have dominated this fixture, winning four of the last five head-to-head encounters, including a 1-4 victory in March 2024. Den Bosch’s only win in that stretch came at home, which could give them some confidence heading into this clash.
The hosts will look to exploit their attacking rhythm, having averaged 2.8 goals scored per game over their last five outings. Their main challenge will be tightening up at the back, as they have also conceded an average of 2.2 goals in the same period. Willem II, meanwhile, have been more balanced, scoring 2.4 goals per game and conceding less than one on average in their recent matches. Their improved defensive organization could be the key to securing a positive result away from home.
Given the attacking profiles of both sides, this fixture could easily produce multiple goals. Den Bosch’s home advantage and Willem II’s recent resurgence make it difficult to separate them, and a draw would not be a surprising outcome. The last few meetings have often been decided by fine margins, and this one looks set to follow a similar pattern.
The most likely outcome is a Draw (X) with a 24% probability. A FC Den Bosch win (1) follows at 41%, while a Willem II win (2) stands at 35%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Den Bosch
Willem II
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
5
5
10
0
4.5
6
4
10
0