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FC Dordrecht
7:00 PM
September 25, 2026
Almere City
Prediction published on Sep 23, 2026 7:03 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Sep 23, 2026 7:03 PM
FC Dordrecht host Almere City on Friday, September 25, in the eighth round of the Eerste Divisie. The match starts at 19:00 local time at the Riwal Hoogwerkers Stadion in Dordrecht. The two teams enter this fixture with sharply contrasting records: the hosts are 19th after collecting four points from seven matches, while the visitors sit second with 16 points. Dordrecht have lost five consecutive games, whereas Almere City have won four of their last five. Those figures make the away side the stronger team on current form, although both the recent scoring data and the long-term away trends suggest that this meeting could still deliver an eventful contest.
FC Dordrecht have endured a difficult beginning to their Eerste Divisie campaign. Their season record stands at one win, one draw and five defeats, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per match. That defensive average highlights the main concern ahead of a game against an opponent that has been scoring consistently both across the season and in recent away fixtures.
The hosts have taken no points from their last five matches. That sequence began with a 1-0 defeat against Roda JC, followed by heavy losses to FC Volendam and Jong AZ. Dordrecht were beaten 6-1 by Volendam and then lost 6-3 against Jong AZ. They subsequently suffered a 2-1 defeat to FC Eindhoven before going down 3-0 against TOP Oss on September 18.
Across those five defeats, Dordrecht averaged 1.0 goal scored and 3.6 goals conceded. They therefore showed that they can contribute in attack, finding the net in three matches during that run, but the number of goals allowed at the other end has made positive results difficult to obtain. Dordrecht have also been behind at half-time in eight of their last 13 matches, a pattern that has been recorded both overall and specifically in the Eerste Divisie.
The head-to-head record adds another challenge for the home team. Dordrecht have no wins or draws in the five matches included in the supplied summary, losing all five while averaging only 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. The latest meeting ended in a 4-1 result on April 17, 2026. Dordrecht will consequently need a significant improvement on both their recent form and their record in this matchup.
Almere City travel to Dordrecht after making an impressive start to the competition. Their first seven league matches produced five wins, one draw and one defeat. They are averaging 2.3 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game, giving them a much stronger balance between attack and defence than Friday's opponents.
The visitors have won four of their last five fixtures, with their only defeat in that period coming by a 1-0 score against Jong Ajax. They recorded a 3-0 win over Vitesse and a 4-1 victory against De Graafschap before beating MVV Maastricht 4-0. Their latest match brought another positive result, as Almere City defeated Heracles Almelo 1-0 on September 18.
Almere City's numbers over those five games underline their strong momentum. They averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded, keeping three clean sheets and scoring 12 times. Their success has therefore not depended exclusively on attacking output, as they have also limited opponents effectively during this run.
The away scoring trends are particularly notable. Almere City have scored at least once in each of their last 17 Eerste Divisie away matches, while they have found the net in 20 of their last 21 away fixtures across all competitions covered by the data. They have also scored in 30 of their previous 32 Eerste Divisie matches. In addition, more than 1.5 total goals have been recorded in their last 20 away games and in their last 16 league matches on the road.
Second-half action has been another recurring feature of Almere City's matches. At least one goal after the interval has occurred in 24 of their last 25 games, as well as in their previous 19 Eerste Divisie fixtures. The same outcome has landed in each of their last 21 away matches and in their last 17 league trips. However, Almere City have been level at half-time in eight successive games, suggesting that their strongest influence has often become clearer after the break.
The contrast in recent results shapes this Eerste Divisie preview. FC Dordrecht have lost five in a row and conceded an average of 3.6 goals during that sequence. Almere City, by comparison, have collected four victories from their last five matches while averaging 2.4 goals and allowing only 0.4 per game. The visitors also hold the superior season record and have won all five matches in the supplied head-to-head summary.
There are several indications that goals could play an important role. The supplied probabilities rate both Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 goals at 68%. Dordrecht's recent results have included 6-1 and 6-3 defeats, while Almere City scored three or more goals in three of their last four victories. The visitors' lengthy sequence of matches featuring second-half goals further points toward continued activity after the interval.
Nevertheless, the clearest difference concerns overall performance. Almere City have the better attacking average, the stronger defensive record and far more positive recent results. Dordrecht's home status provides the setting for an attempt to reverse their losing run, but their defensive numbers and five consecutive head-to-head defeats make this a demanding assignment. The supplied win probabilities give Almere City the largest individual share at 41%, compared with 35% for Dordrecht and 24% for the draw.
FC Dordrecht vs Almere City prediction from BetMines: Almere City win (2) with 41% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Dordrecht
Almere City
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
2
8
3
7
3.5
5
5
4
6
4.5
7
3
8
2