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FC Dordrecht
3 - 0
FT
Helmond Sport
Prediction published on Jan 7, 2026 9:04 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Jan 7, 2026 9:04 PM
The Eerste Divisie returns this Friday after the winter break, and one of the most intriguing fixtures on the schedule is the clash between FC Dordrecht and Helmond Sport. Both sides endured a difficult first half of the season and will be eager to start the new year with a positive result. With the cold Dutch winter affecting pitch conditions and atmosphere, this encounter promises to test the resilience and adaptability of both teams as they aim to climb away from the lower half of the table.
FC Dordrecht currently sit 14th in the Eerste Divisie standings with 24 points, reflecting a campaign marked by inconsistency. Their last five matches before the break produced just one victory, no draws, and four defeats. During that stretch, they averaged 1.4 goals scored per game but conceded 2.4 goals on average, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that have cost them valuable points.
Their most recent outing ended in a 3-1 defeat against VVV-Venlo on December 19, a result that extended their winless run to four matches. Earlier in that sequence, Dordrecht suffered losses to Jong FC Utrecht (1-2), Willem II (2-0), and FC Eindhoven (3-4). Their only bright spot came in a 1-2 away win over Roda JC, but since then, the team has struggled to maintain momentum. Over the course of the season, Dordrecht’s record stands at 6 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.
Despite their recent struggles, Dordrecht can take confidence from their strong head-to-head record against Helmond Sport. In their last five meetings, they have recorded 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game while conceding just 0.4. The most recent encounter, played on October 24, 2025, ended in a 1-2 away victory for Dordrecht, a result they will hope to replicate on home soil.
Helmond Sport enter this fixture one place below their opponents, sitting 15th in the table with the same number of points. Their form before the winter break was slightly steadier than Dordrecht’s, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats in their last five matches. During that period, they averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game, suggesting that while their attack has been productive, defensive lapses remain a concern.
Helmond’s final match of 2025 was a 2-2 draw against Willem II on December 21, a result that showed both their attacking potential and their defensive fragility. Earlier in December, they also managed a goalless draw against SC Cambuur and a 2-1 victory over Jong Ajax, but heavy defeats to MVV Maastricht (2-4) and FC Emmen (4-1) exposed their inconsistency. Over the season, Helmond Sport’s record stands at 7 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match.
Although their away form has been unpredictable, Helmond Sport have shown they can compete with teams around them in the standings. Facing a direct rival like Dordrecht provides an opportunity to gain crucial points and start the second half of the season on a stronger note. However, their poor record in this fixture — no wins in the last five meetings — will be a psychological hurdle to overcome.
This match brings together two sides with remarkably similar trajectories. Both have struggled for consistency, both concede more than they score, and both are desperate to turn the page after a disappointing first half of the campaign. The head-to-head history clearly favors FC Dordrecht, but their recent defensive issues and lack of confidence could level the playing field.
Statistically, the game leans toward being an open contest. The data shows a 62% probability for Over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of Both Teams To Score (Yes), suggesting that spectators might witness an entertaining match with goals at both ends. Dordrecht’s home advantage could play a role, but Helmond Sport’s attacking output in recent weeks means they are capable of finding the net as well.
Given the balance between the two teams, a draw appears to be a realistic outcome. Dordrecht’s superior head-to-head record may give them a slight edge, but Helmond Sport’s resilience and improved attacking form could be enough to secure a share of the points.
FC Dordrecht vs Helmond Sport prediction by BetMines:
Draw (X) with 23% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Dordrecht
Helmond Sport
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
5
5
7
3
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
9
1
9
1