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FC Dordrecht
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Jong Ajax
Prediction published on Feb 18, 2026 8:07 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Feb 18, 2026 8:07 PM
The upcoming Eerste Divisie clash between FC Dordrecht and Jong Ajax promises to be an intriguing encounter between two sides at opposite ends of the table. The hosts are enjoying a strong campaign and currently sit comfortably in the upper half of the standings, while the visitors continue to struggle near the bottom. With both teams having contrasting recent form, this fixture could play a key role in shaping their respective ambitions for the remainder of the season.
FC Dordrecht have been one of the most consistent sides in recent weeks. They have won each of their last five matches, including a narrow 1-0 victory over FC Emmen on February 13, 2026. During this impressive run, they have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.8. Their attacking efficiency and defensive discipline have been the foundation of their success.
Across the season, Dordrecht’s record stands at 11 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. Their home form has been particularly reliable — they have scored at least once in 19 of their last 20 home fixtures. This consistency in front of goal makes them a dangerous opponent for any visiting side.
With momentum clearly on their side, Dordrecht will look to extend their winning streak and strengthen their position in the playoff race. Their recent performances suggest a team full of confidence and capable of controlling matches both offensively and defensively.
In contrast, Jong Ajax have endured a difficult season. They currently occupy the bottom spot in the Eerste Divisie standings, with only 19 points collected from 26 matches. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five outings. Most recently, they suffered a 1-2 home loss against SC Cambuur on February 16, 2026.
Defensive issues have plagued Jong Ajax throughout the campaign. They have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 19 away matches, and their average of 2.0 goals conceded per game highlights their vulnerability at the back. Offensively, they have managed to score 1.3 goals per match, showing some attacking potential but lacking the balance needed to secure consistent results.
Despite occasional flashes of promise, Jong Ajax’s defensive fragility and lack of consistency have kept them anchored to the bottom of the table. Their young squad continues to show effort, but the gap in experience and physicality often proves decisive against more seasoned opponents.
Historically, FC Dordrecht have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture. In their last five meetings with Jong Ajax, Dordrecht have recorded three wins and two draws, remaining unbeaten. The most recent encounter ended in a 0-0 draw on November 7, 2025. Across these matches, Dordrecht have averaged 2.0 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded, underlining their dominance in this matchup.
Given the current form of both teams, the tactical setup is likely to favor Dordrecht’s attacking approach. Their ability to maintain possession and create chances efficiently could expose Jong Ajax’s defensive weaknesses. Meanwhile, the visitors will rely on quick transitions and individual talent to find openings, but their tendency to concede early goals — having trailed at halftime in 8 of their last 11 matches — remains a major concern.
With Dordrecht’s strong home record and Jong Ajax’s ongoing struggles away from home, the balance of play is expected to tilt heavily in favor of the hosts. However, given that both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches recently, goals at both ends cannot be ruled out.
All indicators point toward another positive result for FC Dordrecht. Their current momentum, combined with a solid defensive structure and efficient attack, makes them clear favorites. Jong Ajax will need a near-perfect performance to avoid defeat, but their recent defensive record suggests that will be a tall order.
Considering the statistical trends — including Dordrecht’s scoring consistency and Jong Ajax’s tendency to concede — this match could feature multiple goals. The hosts are expected to control proceedings and continue their winning streak, while the visitors may struggle to keep pace.
BetMines Prediction: FC Dordrecht win (1) with a probability of 63%. The data also indicates a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals (61%) and Both Teams To Score – Yes (61%), suggesting an entertaining contest with attacking intent from both sides.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Dordrecht
Jong Ajax
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
9
1
6
4