Tools
FC Dordrecht
2:30 PM
September 5, 2026
Jong AZ
Prediction published on Sep 3, 2026 2:57 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Sep 3, 2026 2:57 PM
FC Dordrecht welcome Jong AZ on Saturday, September 5, in the fifth round of the Eerste Divisie. The match is scheduled to begin at 14:30 local time at the Riwal Hoogwerkers Stadion. Both teams have experienced inconsistent starts to the campaign, although the visitors arrive with slightly more points on the board. FC Dordrecht are 15th after collecting one win, one draw and two defeats, while Jong AZ sit 11th with two victories and three losses. Recent results suggest an open contest could be ahead: the hosts have conceded an average of 2.5 goals per league match, while Jong AZ are averaging 1.8 goals both scored and allowed. With neither side displaying consistent defensive control, this Eerste Divisie fixture offers several statistical reasons to expect activity in front of goal.
FC Dordrecht opened their season with a 2-1 victory over Jong Ajax, but they have not managed another win since that promising start. A 2-2 draw against RKC Waalwijk was followed by consecutive defeats, first 1-0 against Roda JC and then 6-1 against FC Volendam on August 28. That heavy loss represents the most concerning result in their early schedule and underlines the defensive issues reflected in their season numbers.
Across their last five matches, FC Dordrecht have registered one win, one draw and three defeats. They scored an average of 1.0 goals per game during that sequence while conceding 2.4. Their league record stands at one victory, one draw and two losses, with averages of 1.3 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. The gap between their attacking and defensive figures shows why the hosts need a more balanced performance in this fixture.
The first half may be particularly important for FC Dordrecht. They have been behind at half-time in six of their last ten Eerste Divisie matches, a pattern that could make another slow start costly. Their games have also produced a reliable corners trend, with more than 7.5 corners recorded in 20 of their previous 21 league fixtures. After failing to win four of their last five matches following the departure of Dirk Kuijt, the home side now face an opponent with a recent history of decisive away results.
Jong AZ began the season with a 1-0 defeat against FC Eindhoven before responding with an entertaining 5-2 victory over De Graafschap. That success was followed by losses against FC Emmen, by a 3-1 scoreline, and MVV Maastricht, who won 2-1. Jong AZ returned to winning ways in their latest match, beating Jong FC Utrecht 2-1 on August 31.
The visitors therefore arrive with two wins and three defeats from their last five games, without a draw. Over that period, they averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. The same averages apply to their Eerste Divisie season statistics, which consist of two victories, no draws and three defeats. Their results have been unpredictable, but goals have remained a regular feature at both ends of the pitch.
Jong AZ have gone 16 consecutive away league matches without a draw, and three of their previous five away fixtures ended in victory. Their broader league sequence is similarly decisive, as they have avoided a draw in 32 of their last 34 Eerste Divisie games. More than 1.5 total goals were scored in each of their last 16 away league matches and in 25 of their previous 26 league fixtures overall.
The timing statistics are also notable. At least one second-half goal has been scored in 24 of Jong AZ’s last 26 Eerste Divisie matches, while 26 of their previous 29 league games contained a goal before half-time. Corners have been frequent as well, with over 7.5 recorded in 26 of the visitors’ last 27 league matches. These repeated trends point towards a contest likely to develop early rather than remain closed for long periods.
The main question is whether FC Dordrecht can recover defensively after conceding six times in their latest match. Their average of 2.5 goals allowed per league game creates an opportunity for a Jong AZ side scoring 1.8 per match. However, the visitors have also conceded at an average rate of 1.8, giving the hosts reason to believe they can create chances of their own.
The supplied probabilities reflect that combination of defensive vulnerability and attacking potential. Both teams to score is rated at 67%, while the probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 69%. The individual results support that outlook: FC Dordrecht have already been involved in 2-1, 2-2 and 6-1 scorelines this season, while four of Jong AZ’s five listed games featured at least three total goals.
The head-to-head numbers provide another useful reference. Jong AZ won the latest meeting 2-1 on February 9, 2026. Across the supplied head-to-head summary from FC Dordrecht’s perspective, the record is one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Although the hosts carry a 47% win probability, compared with 30% for Jong AZ and 23% for the draw, the wider data presents goals and match timing as the clearest themes.
An early breakthrough appears especially plausible. FC Dordrecht have trailed at the interval in six of their last ten league games, while Jong AZ have seen at least one first-half goal in 26 of their previous 29 Eerste Divisie fixtures. Combined with the visitors’ run of 16 away league matches producing more than 1.5 total goals, the numbers favor a match that becomes active before the break and continues to offer scoring possibilities afterward.
FC Dordrecht vs Jong AZ prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 84% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Dordrecht
Jong AZ
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
2
8
1
9
3.5
5
5
4
6
4.5
7
3
6
4