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FC Eindhoven
2 - 1
FT
Jong Ajax
Prediction published on Mar 4, 2026 10:01 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Mar 4, 2026 10:01 PM
The final phase of the Eerste Divisie season begins on Friday, March 6, with an intriguing clash between FC Eindhoven and Jong Ajax. Both sides find themselves in the lower half of the table, but with a playoff spot still up for grabs, every point counts. FC Eindhoven currently sit 12th with 34 points from 29 matches, while Jong Ajax occupy the bottom position with 26 points. Despite their standings, recent form suggests this could be a much closer contest than the table implies.
FC Eindhoven have struggled to find consistency in recent weeks. They have lost four of their last five matches, managing only one victory — a 3-2 win over Almere City. Their defeats came against VVV-Venlo (1-0), FC Den Bosch (2-1), SC Cambuur (2-1), and RKC Waalwijk (2-1). This poor run has seen them slip down the standings, and their defensive record remains a concern, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game this season.
At home, Eindhoven’s matches tend to be lively, especially after the break. In fact, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 18 of their last 20 home games in the Eerste Divisie. Their overall season record stands at 10 wins, 4 draws, and 15 defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored per match. The team will be eager to rediscover their early-season form and make a strong start to this final period of the campaign.
Jong Ajax may be bottom of the table, but their recent performances show signs of improvement. After heavy defeats to De Graafschap (4-0) and SC Cambuur (1-2), they bounced back impressively, beating FC Dordrecht (0-1) and Helmond Sport (5-1), and drawing 0-0 with FC Emmen. This run has given them renewed confidence heading into the trip to Eindhoven.
Across the season, Jong Ajax have recorded 6 wins, 8 draws, and 15 losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Their games are often open and entertaining, with over 0.5 goals in the second half in 23 of their last 25 matches. Corners are also a frequent feature, with over 7.5 corners taken in 26 of their last 28 league games. However, their away form remains a weakness — they have trailed at half time in 7 of their last 10 away fixtures.
Historically, encounters between FC Eindhoven and Jong Ajax have been competitive. In their last five meetings, Eindhoven have won twice, drawn twice, and lost once, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game while conceding 1.4. The most recent clash ended 1-3 in favor of Jong Ajax on November 21, 2025, a result that will give the visitors confidence ahead of this rematch.
Both teams tend to produce matches with goals, and given their defensive vulnerabilities, another open contest could be on the cards. FC Eindhoven’s home advantage might help them create chances, but Jong Ajax’s recent attacking resurgence suggests they will not be easy to contain. With both sides averaging similar goal-scoring and conceding rates, the balance of play could hinge on who takes their chances in front of goal.
Statistically, Both Teams To Score (BTTS) has been a frequent outcome in their recent fixtures, and the data supports another high-scoring affair. The probability figures indicate a 61% chance of BTTS and a 61% likelihood of Over 2.5 goals, reinforcing the expectation of an entertaining match.
Despite FC Eindhoven’s higher league position, their recent form raises doubts about their ability to secure all three points. Jong Ajax, on the other hand, have shown signs of improvement and will look to build on their recent 5-1 victory. The visitors’ attacking momentum and Eindhoven’s defensive fragility could combine to produce goals at both ends.
Considering the statistical trends and recent performances, the BetMines prediction for this fixture points towards Both Teams To Score – Yes with a 61% probability. Fans can expect an open and lively encounter as both sides aim to start the final phase of the season on a positive note.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Eindhoven
Jong Ajax
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
1
9
4
6
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
10
0
6
4