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Prediction published on Dec 18, 2025 3:53 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Dec 18, 2025 3:53 PM
The upcoming clash in the Eerste Divisie brings together two sides looking to climb away from the lower half of the table. FC Eindhoven will host Jong AZ in the 21st round, a fixture that promises goals and intensity given both teams’ recent attacking trends. With only four points separating them in the standings, this encounter could prove decisive in shaping their mid-season ambitions.
FC Eindhoven currently sit 14th in the Eerste Divisie with 24 points from 20 matches, holding a goal difference of -13. Their recent performances have shown signs of improvement, collecting three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five outings. During this period, they have averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, highlighting a more dynamic attacking approach compared to earlier in the season.
Among their most notable results was the thrilling 3-4 away victory against FC Dordrecht on December 12, 2025, which showcased their offensive potential. They also recorded convincing wins over Jong Ajax (1-3) and Jong PSV (4-0), while sharing the spoils in a 3-3 draw with SC Cambuur. Their only setback came in a 2-0 loss to De Graafschap. Overall, Eindhoven’s season record stands at 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
At home, Eindhoven have been particularly entertaining to watch. In 19 of their last 20 home matches in the Eerste Divisie, there has been at least one goal scored in the second half, suggesting that late drama is almost guaranteed when they play in front of their fans. Their attacking momentum and improved consistency could make them a tough opponent for Jong AZ this Friday.
Jong AZ enter this fixture placed 17th in the table with 20 points from 20 matches. Their campaign has been inconsistent, with flashes of promise overshadowed by defensive fragility. Over their last five games, they have managed 2 wins and 3 defeats, scoring an average of 1.8 goals but conceding 2.4 per match. Their most recent outing ended in a heavy 1-4 defeat against Jong FC Utrecht on December 12, 2025, underlining their defensive struggles.
Despite those setbacks, Jong AZ have shown they can be dangerous on their day, claiming impressive away wins over MVV Maastricht (1-3) and Roda JC (2-3). However, losses to TOP Oss (0-1) and FC Emmen (4-2) have prevented them from building momentum. Their overall record this season stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 12 defeats, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
One consistent trend in Jong AZ’s matches is early scoring action. In 20 of their last 22 league games, there has been at least one goal before half-time, making them one of the most entertaining sides to watch in the opening 45 minutes. However, their defensive lapses often undo their attacking efforts, especially against teams that press high and exploit space behind their back line.
Historically, the meetings between FC Eindhoven and Jong AZ have been relatively balanced. In their last five encounters, Eindhoven have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, scoring an average of 1.6 goals while conceding 1.4. The most recent head-to-head, played on November 3, 2025, ended in a 0-2 victory for Jong AZ, a result that Eindhoven will be eager to avenge.
Given both teams’ attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities, this fixture could produce plenty of goalmouth action. Eindhoven’s recent resurgence, combined with their strong home record, suggests they will look to dominate possession and create chances through quick transitions. Jong AZ, on the other hand, may rely on counterattacks and set pieces to exploit Eindhoven’s defensive gaps.
Statistically, both sides are involved in high-scoring matches: 67% of their recent games have featured Over 2.5 goals, and the Both Teams To Score (Yes) market has also landed in 67% of their fixtures. These numbers point towards another open and entertaining contest.
With both teams showing attacking intent but struggling defensively, goals are expected at both ends. Eindhoven’s home advantage and recent form make them slight favorites, but Jong AZ’s ability to score away from home cannot be underestimated. The balance of probabilities suggests a lively encounter with multiple goals and chances for both sides.
According to the latest data, the win probabilities stand at FC Eindhoven 34%, Draw 22%, and Jong AZ 44%. While the visitors hold a marginal statistical edge, Eindhoven’s momentum and home support could tilt the balance in their favor. The most likely scenario is a competitive match where both teams find the net, possibly decided by fine margins in the second half.
FC Eindhoven vs Jong AZ prediction by BetMines:
Both Teams To Score – Yes with 67% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Eindhoven
Jong AZ
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
1
9
4
6
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
10
0
7
3