FC Emmen welcome De Graafschap to De Oude Meerdijk on September 11, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 local time. The teams enter the sixth round of the Eerste Divisie after making sharply contrasting starts to the season. FC Emmen have collected 12 points from five matches and sit third in the rankings, while De Graafschap are 20th after taking only one point from the same number of games. The home side have won four times and lost once, whereas the visitors remain without a victory following one draw and four consecutive defeats. Those results make FC Emmen the stronger team on current form, but the scoring statistics also suggest that this fixture could produce plenty of action. FC Emmen are averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per league match, while De Graafschap have scored 1.0 and allowed 3.4 per game.

FC Emmen Recent Form and Key Statistics

FC Emmen opened their campaign with three straight victories. They first defeated Roda JC 1-0 before winning a dramatic match against Jong Ajax 6-4. A 3-1 success over Jong AZ then extended their perfect beginning to the season.

Their winning sequence ended with a 4-0 defeat against VVV-Venlo, but the response was immediate. On September 4, FC Emmen overcame FC Volendam 5-3 to register their fourth victory in five league games. That latest result once again underlined the high-scoring nature of their matches: across the opening five rounds, they have averaged 3.0 goals scored and 2.4 conceded.

FC Emmen therefore combine an excellent results record with matches that have regularly featured chances at both ends. Their five league scorelines have included a 6-4 win, a 3-1 victory, a 4-0 defeat and a 5-3 success. Although they have shown enough attacking output to collect 12 points, their concession average indicates that opponents have also found opportunities to score.

Second-half activity has been especially consistent in their league fixtures. At least one goal after the interval has been recorded in each of FC Emmen’s last 13 Eerste Divisie matches. That sequence is relevant ahead of a meeting with another team whose games have also frequently produced second-half goals.

De Graafschap Recent Form and Key Statistics

De Graafschap began the new season with a 1-1 draw against Helmond Sport. However, that remains their only point after five rounds. They subsequently lost 5-2 to Jong AZ, 2-1 against VVV-Venlo and 4-1 to Almere City FC before suffering a 5-0 defeat against Heracles Almelo on September 4.

The visitors consequently travel to Emmen with a record of zero wins, one draw and four defeats. Their average of 1.0 goal scored per match is significantly lower than FC Emmen’s figure, while their average of 3.4 conceded highlights the central issue behind their difficult opening. De Graafschap have allowed at least four goals in three of their last four games, including five in two of those defeats.

Broader match trends also point towards goalmouth action. More than 1.5 total goals have been scored in 37 of De Graafschap’s last 40 matches. In addition, at least one second-half goal has occurred in 36 of their previous 40 games. Combined with FC Emmen’s corresponding second-half sequence, the available numbers give the later stages of this fixture particular statistical significance.

Corners have also been a recurring feature of De Graafschap’s away league matches. More than 7.5 corners were taken in 19 of their last 20 Eerste Divisie away fixtures, while 18 of those 20 games went beyond 8.5 corners. These figures add another notable match pattern, although reversing a four-game losing run remains the visitors’ more immediate challenge.

FC Emmen vs De Graafschap Match Analysis

The form comparison clearly favors FC Emmen. The hosts have four victories from five matches and occupy third place, while De Graafschap are at the bottom of the rankings with one point. The stated result probabilities nevertheless leave room for a competitive contest: FC Emmen have a 42% win probability, compared with 22% for a draw and 35% for a De Graafschap victory.

The strongest theme surrounding the game is the potential for goals. FC Emmen’s league matches currently feature a combined average of 5.4 goals when their scoring and concession rates are considered, while the equivalent figure for De Graafschap is 4.4. The hosts have already participated in wins of 6-4 and 5-3, and the visitors have been involved in 5-2, 4-1 and 5-0 defeats. The supplied probabilities reflect those patterns, assigning 70% to over 2.5 goals and 68% to both teams scoring.

FC Emmen also hold the better recent head-to-head record. Across the supplied summary, they have won four of five meetings with De Graafschap, losing once and drawing none. They averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across that sequence. The most recent encounter finished 1-0 to FC Emmen on April 24, 2026, although the teams’ current league averages point towards the possibility of a more open match this time.

For the hosts, the objective is to build on their 5-3 victory over FC Volendam and maintain a start that has delivered four wins from five. De Graafschap, meanwhile, must attempt to end a run of four straight losses after conceding 16 goals across those defeats. With both teams showing repeated second-half goal trends and several recent scorelines passing the three-goal mark, the goal market provides the most coherent conclusion to the available statistical analysis.

FC Emmen vs De Graafschap prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 70% probability.