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Prediction published on Feb 21, 2026 8:03 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Feb 21, 2026 8:03 PM
The upcoming clash in the Eerste Divisie sees FC Emmen host Jong Ajax at De Oude Meerdijk. Both sides are struggling in the lower part of the table, making this encounter crucial for their hopes of climbing away from the relegation zone. Earlier this season, Emmen secured a narrow 0-1 victory in Amsterdam, but since then, their form has dipped significantly. Jong Ajax, meanwhile, remain bottom of the standings but recently showed signs of improvement with a valuable away win. With both teams desperate for points, Monday’s fixture promises to be a tense and open affair.
FC Emmen currently sit 17th in the Eerste Divisie, having collected 29 points from 25 matches. Their recent performances have been disappointing, with no wins in their last five outings — a run that includes four defeats and one draw. The most recent setback came in a 2-3 loss against Jong PSV on February 20, following a 1-1 draw with FC Den Bosch and defeats to Almere City, TOP Oss, and FC Dordrecht. Despite their struggles, Emmen remain a dangerous side at home, where they have consistently found the net.
Statistically, Emmen’s season has been defined by inconsistency. They have recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match. Their attacking output remains reliable, having scored in each of their last 15 home games in the Eerste Divisie. However, defensive issues persist — they have conceded at least one goal in their last 13 matches. Matches at De Oude Meerdijk tend to be lively, with over 1.5 total goals scored in each of their last 15 home fixtures and goals in both halves in nearly every game.
These numbers highlight Emmen’s attacking intent but also their defensive fragility, often leading to high-scoring encounters. The home crowd will expect a reaction after a poor run, and scoring early could be key to restoring confidence.
Jong Ajax remain bottom of the Eerste Divisie table with 22 points from 27 matches, but their recent form suggests a slight improvement. They earned a 0-1 away win over FC Dordrecht on February 20, ending a two-game losing streak that included heavy defeats to De Graafschap (4-0) and SC Cambuur (1-2). Before that, they had shown promise with a 2-1 victory over Willem II and a 2-2 draw against Roda JC. Despite their position, the young Ajax side continue to show flashes of attacking quality.
Across the season, Jong Ajax have registered 5 wins, 7 draws, and 15 losses, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match. Their away performances have been inconsistent, but they tend to be involved in open games, with goals frequently arriving after the break. In fact, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 14 away matches in the Eerste Divisie. However, their defensive lapses often cost them early, as they have trailed at half time in 7 of their last 10 away fixtures.
While Jong Ajax’s youthful energy can trouble opponents, their lack of defensive discipline remains a major concern. Still, their recent win could provide a morale boost heading into this fixture, and they will look to build on that momentum.
Historically, FC Emmen have dominated this fixture, winning four of the last five meetings and losing none. The most recent encounter ended 0-1 in their favor in Amsterdam. However, current form paints a different picture: Emmen’s winless streak contrasts with Jong Ajax’s slight resurgence. Both teams have shown defensive weaknesses, suggesting that goals are likely at both ends.
Given the attacking trends — Emmen scoring in 15 consecutive home matches and Jong Ajax seeing second-half goals in nearly all their recent games — this matchup could deliver another high-scoring contest. The hosts will rely on their home advantage and attacking consistency, while the visitors will hope to exploit Emmen’s defensive lapses.
According to the latest data, the win probabilities stand at FC Emmen 64%, Draw 18%, and Jong Ajax 18%. The Both Teams To Score – Yes outcome is rated at 64%, while Over 2.5 goals has a 71% likelihood. These figures underline the expectation of an open and entertaining match.
FC Emmen vs Jong Ajax prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 71% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Emmen
Jong Ajax
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
4
6
6
4
4.5
6
4
6
4