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Prediction published on Aug 19, 2026 6:04 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Aug 19, 2026 6:04 PM
FC Emmen welcome Jong AZ on August 21, 2026, for the third round of the Eerste Divisie. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:00 at De Oude Meerdijk in Emmen. The hosts have made a perfect start with two victories from two matches, while the visitors have collected three points after recording one win and one defeat. Both teams produced high-scoring performances in their previous fixtures, with FC Emmen winning 6-4 against Jong Ajax and Jong AZ defeating De Graafschap 5-2. Those results, together with the broader scoring statistics, create the conditions for an intriguing match in which goal-related markets command particular attention.
FC Emmen enter this fixture at the top of the Eerste Divisie ranking after taking six points from their opening two league games. They began with a narrow 1-0 victory over Roda JC before producing a very different type of performance against Jong Ajax on August 17. That second match ended in a remarkable 6-4 win, giving FC Emmen momentum ahead of their return home.
Jack Cooper-Love and Freddy Quispel have each scored three goals across the opening two league fixtures. Cooper-Love was especially influential against Jong Ajax, completing a hat-trick and also supplying an assist. Their early output has helped the hosts average 3.5 goals scored per match in the Eerste Divisie this season. However, an average of 2.0 goals conceded shows that their strong attacking numbers have been accompanied by defensive vulnerability.
Looking at a slightly broader sample, FC Emmen have registered three wins and two defeats in their last five matches. During that sequence, they averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. These figures underline the possibility of another open contest, even though their first league game of the season contained only one goal.
The timing statistics also point toward action after the interval. At least one second-half goal has been scored in each of FC Emmen’s last 10 Eerste Divisie matches, as well as in their last 10 matches across all listed competitions. That pattern is relevant after the ten-goal spectacle against Jong Ajax and suggests that the contest could continue to develop as it progresses.
Jong AZ are seventh in the Eerste Divisie ranking with one victory and one defeat. Their campaign started with a narrow home loss to FC Eindhoven, but the response was emphatic. On August 17, they travelled to face De Graafschap and secured a 5-2 victory, demonstrating the attacking potential within the team.
Ayoub Oufkir scored twice in that win over De Graafschap. He is also credited with a goal against FC Utrecht in the Eredivisie, making him one of the explicitly highlighted attacking figures ahead of this encounter. Jong AZ’s season averages stand at 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match in the Eerste Divisie.
The visitors have won four of their last five matches, losing the other fixture and recording no draws. Across those five games, they averaged an imposing 3.8 goals scored per match while conceding 1.4. Their tendency to produce decisive results extends beyond that recent sequence: Jong AZ have not drawn in 29 of their last 31 matches overall or in the Eerste Divisie. They have also gone 15 consecutive away league games without a draw.
Goals are a recurring feature of their league fixtures. More than 1.5 total goals have been scored in 22 of Jong AZ’s last 23 Eerste Divisie matches, including each of their last 15 away games in the competition. At least one first-half goal was recorded in 24 of their previous 26 league fixtures and in 18 of their last 20 away league matches. Meanwhile, 21 of their last 23 matches featured at least one goal after half-time.
Corners offer another notable statistical theme. More than 7.5 corners have been taken in Jong AZ’s last 24 Eerste Divisie games and in 19 of their previous 20 away fixtures, both overall and within the league. Although scoring trends are the central focus of this preview, those corner numbers further illustrate how regularly Jong AZ’s matches produce measurable attacking activity.
The available evidence presents a meeting between two sides that have already demonstrated substantial scoring power. FC Emmen have scored seven goals in their opening two league games, while Jong AZ have found the net five times. Their latest matches produced a combined total of 17 goals: ten in Jong Ajax’s meeting with FC Emmen and seven when Jong AZ visited De Graafschap.
The head-to-head information supports the prospect of another competitive and productive encounter. The latest meeting finished 3-2 on March 9, 2026. Across the supplied head-to-head summary from FC Emmen’s perspective, the record is balanced at two wins, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 2.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. There is therefore no clear historical dominance in the available sample.
The result probabilities also indicate a closely matched fixture. FC Emmen are assigned a 35% chance of winning, compared with 42% for Jong AZ and 23% for the draw. The decimal match odds similarly list FC Emmen at 2.25, Jong AZ at 2.70 and the draw at 3.60. While the visitors hold the highest supplied win probability, the margin is not strong enough to make the match-result market the clearest conclusion from the statistical analysis.
Goal markets receive more direct support. Both teams to score is rated at 67%, while over 2.5 total goals carries a 68% probability. The odds list over 2.5 goals at 1.44 and under 2.5 at 2.70. There is also a high 85% probability attached to at least one first-half goal, matching Jong AZ’s repeated record of first-half scoring action. Nevertheless, the combination of both teams’ latest results, their season scoring averages and the five-goal most recent head-to-head makes the full-match total particularly coherent.
FC Emmen’s perfect league record gives the home side a strong platform, but Jong AZ arrive after scoring five times away from home and have won four of their last five matches. With both teams also conceding regularly according to their season averages, this Eerste Divisie preview points toward an encounter in which opportunities may emerge at both ends and across both halves.
FC Emmen vs Jong AZ prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 68% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Emmen
Jong AZ
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
3
7
3
7
3.5
5
5
5
5
4.5
7
3
6
4