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Prediction published on Nov 26, 2025 8:04 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Nov 26, 2025 8:04 PM
The upcoming Eerste Divisie fixture between FC Emmen and Jong AZ promises an intriguing battle between two sides struggling for consistency. Scheduled for Friday, November 28, 2025, this match marks the 18th round of the Dutch second tier. Both teams have endured mixed fortunes so far, with Emmen sitting mid-table and Jong AZ hovering near the relegation zone. Despite their contrasting positions, neither side has managed to establish a convincing rhythm this season, making this encounter a potentially balanced affair.
FC Emmen currently occupy the 10th spot in the Eerste Divisie standings with 22 points from 17 matches. Their campaign has been inconsistent, reflected in a record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. The team’s most recent outing ended in a 1-1 draw against Roda JC Kerkrade on November 22, extending their unbeaten run to four matches. During this stretch, they recorded one victory and three draws, showing improved resilience after a disappointing 1-0 loss to VV Hoogeveen earlier in the month.
At home, Emmen have been particularly entertaining. Their last 12 home matches have all featured Over 1.5 total goals, and they have scored at least once in each of those games. The first halves at De Oude Meerdijk have also been lively, with Over 0.5 goals before halftime in each of their last 18 home fixtures. Interestingly, Emmen have not gone into halftime level in their last 17 home matches, suggesting that early goals often shape their contests. The second half tends to remain open as well, with Over 0.5 goals after halftime recorded in 19 of their last 20 league games.
Coach and fans alike will be encouraged by the team’s recent stability, but defensive lapses remain a concern. Conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match highlights the need for tighter organization at the back. Nevertheless, the attacking unit has shown promise, averaging 1.2 goals in their last five outings, with the likes of Ben Scholte and Jari Vlak often providing the creative spark.
Jong AZ, the reserve side of AZ Alkmaar, find themselves in 17th place with 17 points from as many matches. Their season has been marked by inconsistency, alternating between strong away performances and disappointing home results. The young Alkmaar outfit have lost three of their last five games but managed two impressive away victories — 3-1 at Almere City FC and 3-1 at MVV Maastricht. However, they suffered defeats at home to FC Eindhoven (0-2), VVV-Venlo (0-2), and most recently TOP Oss (0-1) on November 24.
Across the season, Jong AZ have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, mirroring Emmen’s defensive vulnerabilities. Their youthful squad often displays attacking flair but struggles with consistency and defensive discipline. Away from home, however, they have been more effective, collecting valuable points and showing greater composure in front of goal. This could make them a tricky opponent for Emmen, especially given the hosts’ tendency to concede in open play.
Historically, the head-to-head record between these sides is evenly balanced: two wins each and one draw in their last five meetings, with both averaging 1.8 goals scored and conceded. The most recent encounter ended in a 1-4 victory for Jong AZ on April 18, 2025, a result that will surely boost their confidence heading into this fixture.
This matchup brings together two teams that tend to produce open, goal-filled games. Emmen’s attacking intent at home contrasts with their defensive fragility, while Jong AZ’s youthful exuberance often leads to unpredictable outcomes. Both sides have shown a clear pattern of matches featuring multiple goals, and their recent statistics suggest another high-scoring affair could be on the cards.
Emmen’s home advantage might play a crucial role, as they have been difficult to beat at De Oude Meerdijk, drawing their last two home fixtures. Jong AZ, on the other hand, have proven more dangerous away from home than in Alkmaar, where they have struggled to find consistency. Their ability to exploit spaces on the counterattack could test Emmen’s backline, particularly in the later stages of the match when fatigue sets in.
Given both teams’ recent scoring trends and defensive records, spectators can expect a lively contest with chances at both ends. The key battle may revolve around Emmen’s ability to control possession and limit Jong AZ’s quick transitions. If the hosts can maintain their attacking rhythm while tightening up defensively, they could edge the game. However, Jong AZ’s recent away form suggests they are capable of snatching a result.
The most likely outcome is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% probability. Both teams have shown attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, making a high-scoring match the most probable scenario.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Emmen
Jong AZ
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
0
10
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
4
6
6
4
4.5
6
4
7
3