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Prediction published on Feb 18, 2026 8:08 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Feb 18, 2026 8:08 PM
The upcoming Eerste Divisie clash between FC Emmen and Jong PSV promises to be an intriguing encounter between two sides with contrasting ambitions. The hosts are struggling in the lower half of the table, while the visitors remain in the top four and continue to chase promotion hopes. Earlier this season, Jong PSV claimed a 3-1 victory in Eindhoven, and they will now aim to repeat that success away from home. FC Emmen, on the other hand, will look to use their home advantage to turn their fortunes around after a difficult run of results.
FC Emmen currently sit 16th in the Eerste Divisie standings, having collected 29 points from 24 matches. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with just one win in their last five games (1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats). The team’s most recent outing ended in a 1-0 loss against FC Dordrecht on February 13, 2026. Despite their struggles, Emmen have shown attacking intent, averaging 1.7 goals scored per match this season, though their defense remains a concern with 1.9 goals conceded on average.
At home, Emmen’s matches tend to be lively affairs. Over 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 14 home fixtures, and they have found the net in all of those games. However, defensive lapses have been costly, as they have conceded at least once in their last 12 matches. Interestingly, they have not gone into halftime level in any of their last 16 home games, suggesting that early goals are a common feature when they play at De Oude Meerdijk.
While their attacking numbers are respectable, Emmen’s inability to keep clean sheets has been their biggest obstacle. To get a result against a high-scoring Jong PSV side, they will need to tighten up defensively and make the most of their chances in front of goal.
Jong PSV enter this fixture in fourth place, just two points behind the third-placed team. Their recent performances have been encouraging, with three wins in their last five matches. They defeated Helmond Sport (4-0), SC Cambuur (3-2), and TOP Oss (2-0), while suffering narrow defeats to MVV Maastricht (2-1) and De Graafschap (1-2). This run highlights their attacking strength, as they have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game during this period, while conceding 1.2 on average.
Jong PSV’s matches are consistently high-scoring. Over 2.5 goals have been recorded in 19 of their last 21 Eerste Divisie fixtures, and the same trend applies to their away games. They have also conceded at least one goal in each of their last 12 away matches, which suggests that while they are potent in attack, their defense can be vulnerable on the road.
With their attacking rhythm and ability to score in almost every game, Jong PSV will be confident of finding the net again. However, their defensive record away from home could give FC Emmen some hope of getting on the scoresheet as well.
When these two sides met earlier in the season, Jong PSV secured a 3-1 home victory. The head-to-head record slightly favors the visitors, with three wins and two defeats in the last five meetings. Both teams tend to produce open, attacking football, and the statistics strongly suggest another high-scoring contest. FC Emmen’s home games rarely lack goals, while Jong PSV’s attacking style ensures plenty of action at both ends.
Given the trends, goals are expected in both halves, and both teams are likely to score. FC Emmen’s home scoring streak and Jong PSV’s offensive consistency point toward an entertaining encounter. However, considering the visitors’ superior form and higher league position, they appear better equipped to take all three points.
BetMines Prediction: Over 2.5 goals with 69% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Emmen
Jong PSV
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
4
6
2.5
3
7
8
2
3.5
4
6
9
1
4.5
6
4
9
1