Tools
Prediction published on Sep 24, 2026 6:11 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Sep 24, 2026 6:11 PM
FC Emmen host TOP Oss at De Oude Meerdijk on September 26, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 local time. The Eerste Divisie fixture brings together two teams that have produced identical short-term records but very different season totals. FC Emmen are ninth after collecting four wins and three defeats, while TOP Oss sit 18th with two victories and five losses. Neither side has drawn a league match this season, adding an element of unpredictability to a contest in which both will be looking to build momentum. Their recent results also point towards an open encounter: FC Emmen have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 2.6 conceded across their last five matches, while TOP Oss have recorded averages of 1.4 at both ends during the same period.
FC Emmen enter this match with two wins and three defeats from their previous five outings. Their victories came against Jong AZ, whom they beat 3-1, and FC Volendam in an entertaining 5-3 game. However, those positive results were accompanied by defeats against VVV-Venlo, De Graafschap and FC Eindhoven.
The latest setback was a 3-1 loss to FC Eindhoven on September 18. That result continued a sequence of high-scoring games involving the home side. Across their last five fixtures, FC Emmen have scored an average of 2.0 goals per match but have conceded 2.6 per game. Those numbers underline their ability to create danger while also showing the defensive issues that have prevented them from establishing greater consistency.
Their full Eerste Divisie record stands at four wins, no draws and three defeats. FC Emmen's league matches have featured averages of 2.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded, producing a particularly high combined figure. Another notable trend concerns the closing stages: at least one second-half goal has been scored in each of their last 15 Eerste Divisie matches. With no league draws on their record and goals regularly arriving after the interval, FC Emmen's games have rarely lacked decisive moments.
TOP Oss also have two victories and three defeats from their last five games. They overcame Jong FC Utrecht 2-1 before recording a convincing 3-0 win against FC Dordrecht on September 18. Their other three matches in this sequence ended in losses to Jong PSV, Vitesse and VVV-Venlo.
The victory over FC Dordrecht provides TOP Oss with an encouraging result ahead of this trip, but their wider season record remains difficult. They have won twice and lost five times in the Eerste Divisie, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per league game. As with FC Emmen, they are yet to draw this season.
Matches involving TOP Oss have displayed a strong tendency to clear a low goals threshold. More than 1.5 total goals have been scored in 26 of their last 27 matches, as well as in 25 of their last 26 Eerste Divisie fixtures. Second-half action has been similarly consistent, with at least one goal after the break in 22 of their previous 23 league games.
Corner statistics offer another recurring pattern in TOP Oss fixtures. More than 7.5 corners have been taken in 30 of their last 32 matches and in 29 of their last 31 league games. The higher line has also been crossed regularly, with more than 8.5 corners recorded in 29 of the last 32 matches and 28 of the last 31 in the Eerste Divisie.
The recent head-to-head record is evenly balanced. The summary from the meetings between these clubs shows two wins for FC Emmen, two for TOP Oss and one draw. Across that sequence, FC Emmen averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The previous meeting ended in a 4-0 victory on January 17, 2026, while the other results cited from last season include a 1-1 draw in Emmen.
Although their last-five records are identical, the season figures give FC Emmen the stronger overall position. The hosts have twice as many league victories as TOP Oss, and the supplied probabilities place them at 57% to win, compared with 20% for the draw and 22% for an away victory. Home advantage may therefore reinforce FC Emmen's claims, but their recent rate of 2.6 goals conceded per match means TOP Oss cannot be dismissed, particularly after scoring three without reply against FC Dordrecht.
The statistical profile points most clearly towards goals. FC Emmen's league games are averaging 4.8 total goals when their scoring and conceding rates are combined, while eight goals were scored in their victory over FC Volendam. TOP Oss have also seen more than 1.5 goals in almost all of the long-term sequences provided, and both teams have repeatedly featured in matches containing second-half goals. The available probabilities support that reading, assigning 68% to over 2.5 goals and 63% to both teams scoring.
This should make the contest particularly interesting after the interval. FC Emmen's 15-match league run with a second-half goal and TOP Oss's corresponding record in 22 of 23 matches provide strong evidence that the game may continue to develop as it progresses. FC Emmen carry the better season record and the higher win probability, but both teams' defensive averages leave room for chances at either end. An open, goal-producing Eerste Divisie match is therefore the most coherent expectation based on the supplied form and statistical trends.
FC Emmen vs TOP Oss prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 68% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Emmen
TOP Oss
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
3
7
2
8
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
9
1
8
2