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Prediction published on Mar 18, 2026 8:07 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Mar 18, 2026 8:07 PM
The upcoming round of the Eerste Divisie brings an intriguing clash between FC Emmen and VVV-Venlo, two sides that have struggled to find consistency throughout the season. Both teams are positioned in the lower half of the table and are eager to secure valuable points as the campaign approaches its final stretch. With only a few matches remaining, every result could prove decisive in shaping their final standings.
FC Emmen currently occupy the 14th position in the Eerste Divisie standings, having collected a total of 36 points. Their season record stands at 10 wins, 6 draws, and 14 defeats, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Although the team has shown flashes of improvement, inconsistency remains a major obstacle in their pursuit of a higher league position.
In their last five matches, Emmen have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. They managed to defeat Jong FC Utrecht (1-0) and Jong AZ (2-3), drew 0-0 against Jong Ajax, but suffered defeats against Willem II (0-3) and ADO Den Haag (0-1). The most recent setback came against ADO Den Haag on March 13, a narrow loss that underlined their difficulties in converting chances into goals. On average, they have scored 0.8 goals and conceded 1.2 in their last five outings.
Despite these mixed results, playing at home could provide a psychological boost. Emmen’s supporters will expect a strong response, especially given that their last head-to-head meeting with VVV-Venlo ended in a convincing 4-0 victory back in October 2025. Historically, the balance between the two sides is even, with Emmen registering 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five encounters.
VVV-Venlo sit slightly higher in the table in 12th place, with 37 points from 32 matches. Their season record shows 11 wins, 4 draws, and 17 defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. However, their recent form has been worrying, as the team has failed to win any of their last five matches.
During this poor run, VVV managed only one draw — a 1-1 result against TOP Oss — while losing to ADO Den Haag (1-0), RKC Waalwijk (0-3), MVV Maastricht (2-1), and Jong Ajax (0-1). Their most recent defeat came against Jong Ajax on March 17. Over those five games, they averaged just 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, highlighting their struggles in both attack and defense.
Interestingly, VVV’s matches tend to come alive after the break: Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 20 of their last 21 matches, and in 19 of their last 20 Eerste Divisie fixtures. However, the first halves have been much quieter — at least one team failed to score before halftime in 30 of their last 32 games. This pattern suggests that VVV often start cautiously but open up as the match progresses.
Both teams enter this fixture under pressure to deliver a positive result. FC Emmen have shown slightly better form recently and will be motivated by their home advantage and the memory of their emphatic 4-0 win in the reverse fixture. Their attacking numbers are modest, but their ability to create chances against mid-table opponents could prove decisive.
VVV-Venlo, on the other hand, are in a worrying slump. Their defense has been leaky, and their attack has struggled to find rhythm. The visitors will need to tighten up at the back and rediscover their scoring touch if they hope to take anything from this match. Given their recent performances, however, that task looks challenging.
Statistically, the matchup points toward a competitive but potentially low-scoring affair in the first half, followed by more open play after the break. Emmen’s slightly stronger form and home advantage could tilt the balance in their favor, especially considering VVV’s ongoing winless streak.
BetMines Prediction:
The most likely outcome for this match is a FC Emmen win (1) with a probability of 47%. The draw (X) stands at 23%, while an away win (2) for VVV-Venlo is estimated at 30%. Additionally, the data suggests a high chance of goals, with Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams To Score – Yes each showing a 61% likelihood.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Emmen
VVV-Venlo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
4
6
8
2
4.5
6
4
9
1