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Prediction published on Mar 21, 2026 12:38 AM by Dario in Netherlands - Eredivisie | Modified on Mar 21, 2026 12:38 AM
The upcoming Eredivisie clash between FC Groningen and AZ Alkmaar promises to be an intriguing encounter between two sides aiming to find greater consistency as the season enters its decisive phase. The match, scheduled for March 22 at the Euroborg Stadium, brings together a home team seeking to build on recent signs of improvement and a visiting side that continues to show flashes of attacking brilliance despite occasional defensive lapses. Both teams have experienced fluctuating form, making this fixture a key test of resilience and tactical balance.
FC Groningen approach this match with renewed confidence after a 3-1 victory over Ajax, a result that showcased their attacking potential and lifted morale within the squad. However, their overall record in recent weeks remains mixed, with just one win, one draw, and three defeats in their last five outings. The 1-1 draw against PEC Zwolle on March 13 highlighted both their ability to compete and their ongoing defensive fragility. Over the course of the Eredivisie season, Groningen have recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.
Despite their mid-table position (10th in the Eredivisie), the home side have been involved in consistently open games. In fact, Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 20 of their last 21 matches, while Over 7.5 corners have been taken in the same number of fixtures. This trend underlines their attacking intent but also their vulnerability at the back. The team’s challenge will be to maintain the attacking rhythm that brought success against Ajax while tightening their defensive structure to avoid being exposed by AZ’s quick transitions.
Playing at home could be a crucial factor for Groningen, as the Euroborg crowd often provides a strong boost. However, their defensive record remains a concern, and the ability to maintain focus for the full 90 minutes will be essential if they are to secure a positive result against one of the league’s more potent attacking sides.
AZ Alkmaar arrive in Groningen on the back of a commanding 4-0 win over Sparta Praha, a result that reaffirmed their attacking strength. Their recent form has been impressive, with four wins and just one defeat in their last five matches, averaging 2.6 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per game. In the Eredivisie, AZ sit 6th in the table with a record of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, scoring an average of 1.7 goals per match while conceding 1.6.
AZ’s attacking efficiency has been complemented by their ability to start matches strongly — they have led at half time in each of their last three games. However, their away record shows a curious pattern: they have not drawn any of their last 19 away fixtures, suggesting a tendency toward decisive outcomes, whether positive or negative. The visitors’ challenge will be to maintain their attacking momentum while managing the physical demands of both domestic and European commitments.
AZ’s recent performances suggest a team capable of controlling matches through possession and quick attacking combinations. Their ability to open the scoring — having done so in six of the last seven head-to-head meetings with Groningen — could once again prove decisive. If they manage to impose their rhythm early, the visitors have every chance of extending their positive run.
Historically, AZ Alkmaar have held the upper hand in this fixture. In the last five meetings, Groningen have failed to win, recording one draw and four defeats, while scoring an average of just 0.4 goals per game and conceding 2.2. The most recent encounter ended 4-1 in favor of AZ, underlining the visitors’ attacking superiority. Matches between these sides tend to be open and high-scoring, reflecting both teams’ offensive tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities.
From a tactical perspective, Groningen will likely aim to stay compact and exploit counterattacking opportunities, relying on their home support to push them forward. AZ, on the other hand, will look to dictate the tempo, using their attacking cohesion to create chances and press high up the pitch. Given both teams’ recent scoring patterns, another match with multiple goals seems likely.
Considering the statistical trends and recent form, this fixture points toward an entertaining contest with goals at both ends. Groningen’s attacking improvement and AZ’s consistent scoring form suggest that both teams are likely to find the net. However, AZ’s superior attacking efficiency and historical dominance in this matchup give them a slight edge.
BetMines Prediction: AZ Alkmaar win (2) with a probability of 40%. The data also indicates a 60% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 60% likelihood of Both Teams To Score – Yes, reinforcing the expectation of an open and dynamic encounter.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Groningen
AZ
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
3
7
3
7
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
8
2
9
1