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Prediction published on May 8, 2026 3:06 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eredivisie | Modified on May 8, 2026 3:06 PM
The penultimate round of the Eredivisie season brings an exciting clash at the Euroborg Stadion, where FC Groningen host NEC Nijmegen. Both sides still have plenty to fight for, with European qualification hopes keeping the intensity high. The home side will look to bounce back after a difficult run, while the visitors aim to rediscover their attacking rhythm and secure a crucial away victory.
FC Groningen enter this fixture after two consecutive defeats, including a 2-3 loss against Excelsior on May 2, 2026. Those setbacks ended a positive spell that had featured wins over Ajax, AZ, and Telstar. Despite the recent dip, Groningen’s home performances have generally been stronger, with the Euroborg crowd often providing the extra push needed to compete against stronger opponents.
Across their last five matches, Groningen have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Over the course of the Eredivisie season, their record stands at 12 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. These numbers underline a team capable of finding the net but also vulnerable defensively.
Statistically, Groningen’s matches tend to open up after the break. Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 35 of their last 38 games, showing a clear pattern of late action. At home, only 2 of their last 10 Eredivisie fixtures have ended with under 0.5 total goals, suggesting that fans at the Euroborg can expect entertainment once again.
For Groningen, defensive organization will be key. The team must remain compact and look to exploit counterattacking opportunities, especially given NEC’s attacking tendencies. The home advantage could play a crucial role in restoring confidence after recent disappointments.
NEC Nijmegen arrive in Groningen following a 1-1 draw against Telstar on May 2, 2026. That result extended their winless streak to four matches, a worrying trend for a side with European ambitions. However, their overall season remains strong, with 15 wins, 11 draws, and 6 defeats, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game — one of the most productive attacks in the league.
NEC’s offensive consistency is remarkable: they have scored at least one goal in each of their last 26 matches, and over 1.5 goals have been recorded in their last 21 Eredivisie fixtures. Their away form is also impressive, with goals in each of their last 13 away games and both teams scoring in 20 of their last 22 away matches. This combination of attacking power and defensive fragility often leads to open, high-scoring encounters.
Despite recent draws, NEC’s attacking unit remains among the most dangerous in the competition. Their ability to press high and create through the midfield has been the foundation of their success. However, defensive lapses — with at least one goal conceded in 21 of their last 22 away games — could again prove costly if Groningen capitalize on counterattacks.
This matchup features two teams with contrasting recent fortunes but similar ambitions. FC Groningen will rely on their home strength and disciplined defending to contain NEC’s dynamic attack. The hosts must find a balance between caution and aggression, as conceding early could open the game in favor of the visitors.
NEC Nijmegen, meanwhile, will seek to rediscover the attacking sharpness that defined their earlier performances. Their front line has the potential to trouble any defense, and given Groningen’s recent defensive struggles, NEC are likely to create several scoring opportunities. The key question will be whether they can convert those chances while maintaining defensive stability.
Historically, NEC have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning three of the last five meetings. The most recent encounter ended 2-0 in their favor on November 9, 2025, a result that underlines their attacking superiority. However, Groningen’s resilience at home means this contest could be closer than the rankings suggest.
Both teams have shown a tendency for matches with goals, supported by the data: 58% probability for Over 2.5 goals and 58% for Both Teams To Score. Given these trends, fans can expect an open and entertaining game with plenty of attacking intent from both sides.
FC Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen prediction from BetMines: NEC Nijmegen win (2) with 39% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
8
2
7
3