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FC Midtjylland vs Ajax Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Europa Conference League 05-11-2026

FC Midtjylland

5:45 PM

November 5, 2026

Ajax

MCH Arena
Paweł Raczkowski
overcast clouds °C

Prediction published on Nov 4, 2026 7:32 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Nov 4, 2026 7:32 AM

FC Midtjylland host Ajax in the Europa Conference League on November 5, 2026, with both sides arriving after domestic wins. Midtjylland came from behind to beat Nordsjælland 3-2, while Ajax defeated AZ Alkmaar 1-0. The visitors have won four straight matches, but Midtjylland have lost just once in their last 20 outings, making this a difficult fixture for either team. The competition rankings place Ajax 13th and Midtjylland 25th, though the hosts’ recent results suggest they can pose a challenge at MCH Arena.

FC Midtjylland’s Recent Form and Key Stats

FC Midtjylland have won four of their last five matches, losing the other. Their latest victory came on November 1, when they recovered to win 3-2 away to Nordsjælland. Across those five fixtures, they have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Their broader run is also strong: they have avoided defeat in 19 of their last 20 games and scored at least once in 19 of those 20.

Those results have not made every European match straightforward. Midtjylland lost 1-0 at home to St Truiden in the round described in the source article, a reminder that their domestic form has not always carried over. Their Europa Conference League season figures nevertheless stand at four wins, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. The contrast between that overall record and the St Truiden result gives the hosts something to address against Ajax.

Midtjylland have also won at half-time in seven of their last 10 home matches. That pattern points to the importance of their starts at MCH Arena, although it does not guarantee the same outcome here. Against an Ajax side on a winning streak, maintaining their scoring run over the full match could matter more than taking an early advantage alone.

Ajax’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Ajax travel to this match on four consecutive wins following their defeat to Hajduk Split. That sequence includes a 2-0 home victory over Atalanta and the 1-0 win against AZ Alkmaar on October 31. Ajax have scored 10 goals across those four victories. Their last-five record is four wins and one defeat, with averages of 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.

The visitors’ attacking record extends beyond that winning run. Ajax have scored in each of their last 19 matches, while their Europa Conference League season figures show six wins, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 3.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. The source article notes that Ajax have kept only two clean sheets in their last 10 outings despite scoring in every one of them. Their ability to find a goal is clear, but those defensive results leave an opening for Midtjylland.

Ajax have won at half-time in eight of their last 12 away games and nine of their last 15 matches overall. They have also reached the interval without trailing in 36 of their last 39 fixtures. Those figures make their opening periods worth watching, particularly against hosts who have frequently led at half-time in their own recent home games.

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax Match Analysis

The recent head-to-head record favors Ajax: Midtjylland’s record across the two meetings is no wins, no draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 2.5 conceded. The most recent meeting finished 3-1 on November 25, 2020. Ajax therefore have both a winning streak and a favorable record against this opponent, but Midtjylland’s run of 19 games without defeat in their last 20 makes the current matchup less simple than those previous results suggest.

Goals at both ends are a credible prospect. Midtjylland have scored in 19 of their last 20 matches, and Ajax have scored in their last 19. At the same time, Midtjylland conceded three against Nordsjælland, while Ajax have recorded only two clean sheets in their last 10 outings. Ajax’s recent scoring and the hosts’ consistency in finding the net give both teams a route into the game, even if the visitors’ four straight wins and superior head-to-head record strengthen their case.

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 63% probability.

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax - Predictions

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FC Midtjylland vs Ajax: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

FC Midtjylland

Ajax

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

3.5

60%

6

40%

4

50%

5

50%

5

4.5

60%

6

40%

4

70%

7

30%

3

BetMines

Standings of FC Midtjylland and Ajax in Europa Conference League

League Stage - Ranking

Team

13

Ajax

2

1

0

1

3:2

3

1.5

L
W
25

FC Midtjylland

2

0

1

1

1:2

1

0.5

D
L
8th Finals
Play-off

Who will win ?

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will FC Midtjylland vs Ajax be played?
The Europa Conference League match between FC Midtjylland and Ajax will be played on November 5, 2026 at 17:45.
Where will FC Midtjylland vs Ajax be played?
The match between FC Midtjylland and Ajax will be played at MCH Arena, Herning - Europe
Who will referee FC Midtjylland vs Ajax?
The referee for the match will be Paweł Raczkowski.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for FC Midtjylland vs Ajax in the Europa Conference League?
The odds are: FC Midtjylland to win 2.75, draw 3.75, Ajax to win 2.30.
What are the betting odds for FC Midtjylland vs Ajax for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Europa Conference League?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.47 and Under 2.5 at 2.60.
Will both FC Midtjylland and Ajax score in the Europa Conference League?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.40, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.75.
What is the most likely correct score for FC Midtjylland vs Ajax in the Europa Conference League?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 7.5.
What are the head-to-head results between FC Midtjylland and Ajax?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches between FC Midtjylland and Ajax, FC Midtjylland won 0 times, Ajax won 2, and 0 ended in a draw.

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