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FC Midtjylland
5:45 PM
November 5, 2026
Ajax
Prediction published on Nov 4, 2026 7:32 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Nov 4, 2026 7:32 AM
FC Midtjylland host Ajax in the Europa Conference League on November 5, 2026, with both sides arriving after domestic wins. Midtjylland came from behind to beat Nordsjælland 3-2, while Ajax defeated AZ Alkmaar 1-0. The visitors have won four straight matches, but Midtjylland have lost just once in their last 20 outings, making this a difficult fixture for either team. The competition rankings place Ajax 13th and Midtjylland 25th, though the hosts’ recent results suggest they can pose a challenge at MCH Arena.
FC Midtjylland have won four of their last five matches, losing the other. Their latest victory came on November 1, when they recovered to win 3-2 away to Nordsjælland. Across those five fixtures, they have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Their broader run is also strong: they have avoided defeat in 19 of their last 20 games and scored at least once in 19 of those 20.
Those results have not made every European match straightforward. Midtjylland lost 1-0 at home to St Truiden in the round described in the source article, a reminder that their domestic form has not always carried over. Their Europa Conference League season figures nevertheless stand at four wins, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. The contrast between that overall record and the St Truiden result gives the hosts something to address against Ajax.
Midtjylland have also won at half-time in seven of their last 10 home matches. That pattern points to the importance of their starts at MCH Arena, although it does not guarantee the same outcome here. Against an Ajax side on a winning streak, maintaining their scoring run over the full match could matter more than taking an early advantage alone.
Ajax travel to this match on four consecutive wins following their defeat to Hajduk Split. That sequence includes a 2-0 home victory over Atalanta and the 1-0 win against AZ Alkmaar on October 31. Ajax have scored 10 goals across those four victories. Their last-five record is four wins and one defeat, with averages of 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
The visitors’ attacking record extends beyond that winning run. Ajax have scored in each of their last 19 matches, while their Europa Conference League season figures show six wins, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 3.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. The source article notes that Ajax have kept only two clean sheets in their last 10 outings despite scoring in every one of them. Their ability to find a goal is clear, but those defensive results leave an opening for Midtjylland.
Ajax have won at half-time in eight of their last 12 away games and nine of their last 15 matches overall. They have also reached the interval without trailing in 36 of their last 39 fixtures. Those figures make their opening periods worth watching, particularly against hosts who have frequently led at half-time in their own recent home games.
The recent head-to-head record favors Ajax: Midtjylland’s record across the two meetings is no wins, no draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 2.5 conceded. The most recent meeting finished 3-1 on November 25, 2020. Ajax therefore have both a winning streak and a favorable record against this opponent, but Midtjylland’s run of 19 games without defeat in their last 20 makes the current matchup less simple than those previous results suggest.
Goals at both ends are a credible prospect. Midtjylland have scored in 19 of their last 20 matches, and Ajax have scored in their last 19. At the same time, Midtjylland conceded three against Nordsjælland, while Ajax have recorded only two clean sheets in their last 10 outings. Ajax’s recent scoring and the hosts’ consistency in finding the net give both teams a route into the game, even if the visitors’ four straight wins and superior head-to-head record strengthen their case.
FC Midtjylland vs Ajax prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 63% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Midtjylland
Ajax
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Over
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Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
3
7
3
7
3.5
6
4
5
5
4.5
6
4
7
3