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Prediction published on Nov 4, 2025 7:03 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Nov 4, 2025 8:37 PM
The fourth matchday of the 2025/26 Europa League group stage brings an intriguing clash between FC Midtjylland and Celtic. The Danish side currently lead the standings after a flawless start, while the Scottish giants are struggling to find consistency following a managerial change. With both teams aiming to strengthen their position in the competition, this encounter in Herning promises to be a thrilling one.
Midtjylland have been one of the standout performers in this season’s Europa League. The Danish champions have collected a perfect nine points from their first three matches, boasting a +6 goal difference that places them ahead of Braga and Lyon. Their current form is nothing short of remarkable, with an 11-match unbeaten run across all competitions (9 wins, 2 draws). During this stretch, they have scored an impressive 30 goals while conceding just four.
Domestically, Midtjylland are also in fine shape. They recently drew 1-1 with AGF in the Superliga, a result that extended their unbeaten streak to 17 home matches. The Wolves have lost only once in their last 25 competitive fixtures (18 wins, 6 draws), underlining their consistency and resilience. Their attacking play has been relentless, with Franculino leading the charge. The Bissau-Guinean striker has netted 16 goals in 24 appearances this season, including eight in his last six games. His partnership with Aral Simsir, who has contributed 10 assists and five goal involvements in the Europa League alone, has been key to Midtjylland’s success.
At home, the Danish side have been particularly dominant. They have scored in each of their last 17 home matches, with Over 1.5 goals recorded in all of their last 20 home fixtures. In the Europa League, they have also led at half-time in their last three home games, showing their ability to start strongly. Coach Thomas Thomasberg will, however, be without Ovie Ejeheri, Adam Gabriel, and Edward Chilufya, all sidelined through injury. Despite these absences, the hosts remain a formidable force, especially in front of their passionate home crowd.
Celtic enter this match in a period of transition. After the departure of long-serving manager Brendan Rodgers, who delivered 11 trophies during his tenure, the club appointed Martin O’Neill as interim boss. Under O’Neill, the Bhoys have shown signs of improvement, winning 4-0 against Falkirk and 3-1 against Rangers in the League Cup. In the Europa League, however, their record stands at one win, one draw, and one defeat, leaving them in 21st place overall.
Offensively, Celtic have been productive, averaging 1.6 goals per game over their last five matches. They have scored in each of their last 12 away fixtures in the Europa League, a testament to their attacking intent. Benjamin Nygren has been their standout performer, contributing 11 goal involvements (6 goals, 5 assists) so far this season. Johnny Kenny has also impressed recently, scoring three goals in his last two appearances. However, the visitors will be without key players Kelechi Iheanacho, Jota, and Cameron Carter-Vickers, which could weaken their attacking and defensive balance.
Despite their attacking potential, Celtic’s defensive record remains a concern. They have kept only one clean sheet in their last seven matches, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game. Their last outing, a 1-1 draw against Rangers, showed both their resilience and their vulnerability at the back. The Scottish side will need to tighten up defensively if they are to contain Midtjylland’s high-flying attack.
This fixture pits one of Europe’s most in-form teams against a Celtic side still finding its rhythm under new management. Midtjylland’s attacking power, led by Franculino and Simsir, has been devastating, while their defensive structure has remained solid. The Danish side’s ability to dominate possession and create chances from wide areas could prove decisive against a Celtic defense that has struggled to maintain clean sheets.
For Celtic, the key will be to exploit transitions and make the most of their creative players like Nygren. Their recent scoring form suggests they can find the net, but maintaining defensive discipline will be crucial. Historically, matches between these two sides have been tight — their last meeting in 2021 ended 1-1 — but the current momentum clearly favors the hosts.
Given Midtjylland’s unbeaten home record and their attacking consistency, they are expected to control the tempo and create numerous opportunities. Celtic’s attacking numbers in the Europa League are encouraging, and both teams have shown a tendency to score, which could lead to an open and entertaining contest.
Probable Lineups FC Midtjylland vs Celtic
FC Midtjylland (4-3-3): Lössl; Andersson, Dalsgaard, Juninho, Paulinho; Olsson, Charles, Simsir; Franculino, Cho, Isaksen. Coach: T. Thomasberg
Celtic (4-2-3-1): Hart; Johnston, Scales, Lagerbielke, Taylor; McGregor, Hatate; Abada, Nygren, Maeda; Kenny. Coach: M. O’Neill
FC Midtjylland vs Celtic prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% probability. Both teams have been prolific in front of goal, and their recent form suggests another high-scoring encounter is on the cards.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Midtjylland
Celtic
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
4
6
2
8
3.5
8
2
4
6
4.5
9
1
9
1