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Prediction published on Oct 24, 2025 11:02 AM by Dario in Netherlands - Eredivisie | Modified on Oct 24, 2025 11:23 AM
On October 26, FC Twente welcome Ajax to De Grolsch Veste for a highly anticipated clash in the tenth round of the Eredivisie. Both teams enter the match with different dynamics: Twente are looking to consolidate their strong home form, while Ajax aim to recover from a difficult run of results that has seen them slip down the table. With both sides known for their attacking intent, this fixture promises to deliver goals and drama in equal measure.
FC Twente have been one of the most entertaining teams in the Eredivisie this season. The Enschede side currently sit in the upper half of the table and have shown remarkable consistency, especially at home. Their recent 3-3 draw against NEC Nijmegen extended their unbeaten streak to five league matches, during which they have recorded three wins and two draws. Twente’s attacking output has been impressive, averaging 3.0 goals scored per game in their last five matches, while conceding 1.8 on average.
At De Grolsch Veste, Twente have been particularly dominant. They have scored in each of their last 36 matches in all competitions and in their last 32 Eredivisie fixtures. Moreover, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the first half of their last 16 home league games, underlining their tendency to start matches aggressively. The team’s attacking rhythm, led by experienced forward Ricky van Wolfswinkel, has been crucial to their success. Twente’s ability to press high and transition quickly has made them a formidable opponent, particularly against sides struggling defensively.
However, their defensive record remains a concern. Twente have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 13 Eredivisie matches, suggesting that while they can outscore opponents, they are rarely watertight at the back. This vulnerability could be tested against Ajax’s attacking talent, but their home advantage and momentum make them a dangerous side to face.
Ajax arrive in Enschede in a period of uncertainty. The Amsterdam giants have struggled to find consistency both domestically and in Europe. Their recent 5-1 defeat to Chelsea in the Champions League exposed defensive frailties that have persisted throughout the season. In their last five matches across all competitions, Ajax have managed just one win, one draw, and three defeats, scoring an average of 1.2 goals while conceding 3.0 per game.
In the Eredivisie, Ajax’s record remains respectable with four wins, four draws, and one loss, but their performances have lacked the dominance traditionally associated with the club. They have scored in each of their last 40 matches in all competitions and in their last 28 league games, showing that their attacking firepower remains intact. Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 22 matches, and their away fixtures have been particularly open, with over 1.5 goals in the last 11 away games.
Despite their attacking potential, Ajax’s defensive instability has been costly. Conceding multiple goals in recent matches against AZ Alkmaar, Inter Milan, and Marseille has highlighted their lack of balance. Players like Youri Baas will be key in restoring defensive order, while the midfield must control possession to relieve pressure on the back line. Ajax’s challenge will be to contain Twente’s high pressing and quick transitions, which have undone several opponents this season.
This encounter brings together two teams with contrasting trajectories. FC Twente are thriving at home, combining attacking flair with relentless energy, while Ajax are searching for stability amid defensive uncertainty. The hosts will likely look to impose their tempo early, using their home crowd to maintain pressure and exploit Ajax’s defensive lapses. Given Twente’s record of scoring in every home match this season and Ajax’s tendency to concede, goals seem inevitable.
Historically, this fixture has produced competitive and high-scoring affairs. The last meeting ended 2-0 in favor of Twente, but both sides have averaged nearly 3.5 total goals per game in recent encounters. With both teams boasting attacking quality and defensive vulnerabilities, an open and entertaining match is expected. Ajax’s offensive strength ensures they will create chances, but Twente’s home form and confidence could give them the edge in what promises to be a thrilling contest.
FC Twente vs Ajax prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Over 2.5 goals with a 55% probability. Both teams have shown consistent attacking form and defensive fragility, suggesting another high-scoring Eredivisie encounter at De Grolsch Veste.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Twente
Ajax
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
2
8
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
9
1
10
0