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FC Twente
7:00 PM
October 15, 2026
Thun
Prediction published on Oct 13, 2026 7:34 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Oct 13, 2026 7:34 PM
FC Twente host Thun in the Europa Conference League on October 15, 2026, with the match scheduled for 19:00 local time at De Grolsch Veste in Enschede. Twente have won all four of their home league fixtures this season and arrive unbeaten in their last five matches across competitions. Thun have shown a different pattern: their recent away games have produced plenty of goals, but they have also conceded heavily in Europe. That contrast makes this an intriguing fixture between two sides with very different recent results.
FC Twente are fourth in their domestic league, three points behind leaders Feyenoord. Their four home league matches this season have all ended in victory, providing a strong domestic record ahead of Thun's visit. Across their last five matches, Twente have recorded three wins and two draws, scoring an average of 1.8 goals and conceding 1.0 per game. Their latest result was a 1-1 draw against Fortuna Sittard on October 10.
Twente began their European season in the Europa League but were eliminated in the second qualifying round. They then came through two qualifying ties in the Conference League to reach this stage. Their European home results have been less consistent than their domestic ones: they have won three of their last five home matches in Europe and lost the other two. In this season's Europa Conference League, their record is two wins, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 2.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. They are listed 18th in the competition's ranking supplied for this fixture.
Several longer-running trends add context to Twente's results. Their last 16 matches have each featured more than 7.5 corners, while 26 of their last 29 have contained at least one second-half goal. Those figures do not guarantee how this match will unfold, but they underline how regularly their games have produced action beyond the opening period.
Thun are ninth in the Swiss Super League, with three league wins and six defeats this season. Four of their last five league fixtures have ended in losses. Their most recent outing was a 4-2 away defeat to Zürich on October 10. Across all competitions, Thun's last five matches have brought two wins and three defeats; they have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded in that span.
Results away from home present a particular concern for the visitors. Thun have lost two of their last three away league games and conceded eight goals across those fixtures. In Europe, they have already exited two other competitions this season. They have not won an away European match in 12 years, while the supplied record puts their goals conceded at 15 across their last four European matches this season, including ten in the most recent two. Although Thun are listed fifth in the Europa Conference League ranking provided for this match, that position sits alongside a difficult set of recent defensive results.
The scoring trends in Thun's away fixtures are striking. Each of their last ten away matches has produced over 2.5 total goals, and each of their last 13 has featured at least two goals overall. All of those last ten away games have also had a first-half goal, while their last 11 have contained at least one goal after the break. In each of Thun's last four away matches, both teams have scored in the second half. Across all venues, 19 of their last 21 fixtures have featured a goal before half-time.
Twente's perfect home league record and unbeaten five-match run give them a solid platform for this Europa Conference League meeting. Their home performances in Europe have been more mixed, however, so the four domestic victories should not be treated as a complete guide. Thun, meanwhile, have won twice in their last five matches but arrive after another away league defeat and a run of European games in which they have conceded heavily.
The clearest shared theme in the supplied statistics is goals. Twente have averaged 2.8 scored per match in this season's Europa Conference League, while Thun have averaged 2.0 conceded over their last five matches across competitions. Thun's ten consecutive away fixtures with at least three total goals strengthen the case for another open scoreline, though their 1.6-goal scoring average over the last five games is also worth noting. Rather than relying only on either side's result trend, the goal records provide a useful way to assess how this fixture could develop.
FC Twente vs Thun prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 69% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Twente
Thun
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
5
5
4
6
4.5
7
3
5
5