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FC Union Berlin
4 - 0
FT
FC Augsburg
Prediction published on May 14, 2026 2:10 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on May 14, 2026 2:10 PM
The final weekend of the Bundesliga season brings together two sides with contrasting motivations as FC Union Berlin host FC Augsburg on Saturday afternoon. While the match may not have major implications for the title or relegation, both teams still have something to prove. Union Berlin have already secured their top-flight status after a difficult campaign, while Augsburg could still dream of finishing in the top half of the table. For the visitors, a win might even open a slim chance of European qualification, depending on other results. That makes this encounter more than just a formality — it’s a chance for both clubs to close the season on a positive note.
FC Union Berlin approach this final fixture after a 3-1 away victory against FSV Mainz 05 on May 10, a result that helped them secure safety. However, their overall form remains inconsistent. In their last five Bundesliga matches, Union have recorded just one win, one draw, and three defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 9 wins, 9 draws, and 15 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match.
Recent trends show that Union’s matches tend to open up after the break. Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last ten Bundesliga games, and both teams have found the net in the second half in their last five league fixtures. However, slow starts have been a recurring issue — Union have trailed at half-time in seven of their last ten league matches, including their last four at home. These numbers underline a pattern of late recoveries but also defensive fragility early on.
At home, Union have struggled to impose themselves, and their head-to-head record against Augsburg is not encouraging either. They have not beaten the Bavarian side at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei since January 2020. In the last five meetings between the two clubs, Union have managed just one win, two draws, and two defeats, scoring an average of 0.8 goals while conceding 1.4.
FC Augsburg arrive in Berlin in excellent form, having beaten Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-1 on May 9. Their recent run of results has been impressive: three wins and two draws in their last five Bundesliga matches, remaining unbeaten during that stretch. They have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, showing a strong balance between attack and defense. Over the full season, Augsburg’s record stands at 12 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match.
Offensively, Augsburg have been consistent, with over 1.5 total goals scored in each of their last eleven Bundesliga matches. They also tend to finish strongly — over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 18 of their last 20 league games, including all of their last ten away fixtures. However, their defense remains vulnerable on the road, having conceded at least one goal in each of their last 18 Bundesliga away matches.
Despite those defensive lapses, Augsburg’s ability to take early control has been notable. They have led at half-time in each of their last three league matches, a sign of growing confidence and attacking sharpness. With momentum on their side and a potential top-nine finish within reach, Augsburg will be eager to end the campaign on a high note.
This fixture brings together two teams with very different recent trajectories. Union Berlin have endured a turbulent season, often struggling to find rhythm and consistency, while FC Augsburg have flourished in the final stretch, showing resilience and attacking intent. The hosts will rely on their home crowd to inspire one last strong performance, but their defensive instability, particularly in the first half, could again prove costly.
In contrast, Augsburg’s recent form suggests they are peaking at the right time. Their ability to score multiple goals per game and maintain composure under pressure makes them slight favorites. The visitors’ attacking approach, combined with Union’s tendency to concede early, could shape the flow of the match. Given the statistical balance — with Augsburg averaging more goals and Union conceding frequently — a lively contest with goals on both sides seems likely.
Historically, meetings between these two sides have been tight, with the last encounter ending 1-1 earlier this season. However, considering Augsburg’s current momentum and Union’s inconsistent home record, the visitors appear better positioned to claim all three points. A win here would cap off a strong second half of the season for Augsburg and potentially secure a top-half finish.
Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg prediction by BetMines:
The analysis points towards an away win (2) for FC Augsburg with a probability of 37%. A home win (1) stands at 36%, while the draw (X) is estimated at 26%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
0
10
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
4
6
6
4
4.5
9
1
9
1