Tools
FC Union Berlin
1 - 2
FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Prediction published on Apr 17, 2026 10:46 AM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Apr 17, 2026 10:46 AM
The upcoming Bundesliga clash between FC Union Berlin and VfL Wolfsburg promises to be a tense encounter between two sides struggling for consistency. Scheduled for April 18, this match could play a decisive role in the relegation battle. Both teams have shown defensive weaknesses throughout the season, and recent statistics suggest that goals on both sides are likely. With Union Berlin trying to recover from a difficult run and Wolfsburg desperate to end their winless streak, the stakes could not be higher.
Union Berlin currently sit 11th in the Bundesliga standings, having collected 8 wins, 8 draws and 13 defeats so far. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with just one win in their last five matches (1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats). The team has averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 goals conceded per game in that period, underlining their defensive fragility. In their most recent outing, Union fell 3-1 to Heidenheim on April 11, continuing a worrying trend of conceding multiple goals per match.
At home, Union have struggled to maintain clean sheets, managing to keep their goal intact only three times this season. They have also lost at half time in their last three Bundesliga matches, showing a tendency to start slowly. However, their matches tend to open up after the break — over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 19 of their last 21 games. This pattern suggests that Union’s home fixtures often become more eventful as the game progresses.
Despite their struggles, Union’s home ground has often been a difficult place for opponents. Six of their last eight home meetings with Wolfsburg have been decided by a single goal margin, indicating that tight contests are the norm when these sides meet in the capital.
VfL Wolfsburg enter this fixture in deep trouble, sitting 17th in the Bundesliga table and facing the threat of relegation. Their season record of 5 wins, 6 draws and 18 defeats reflects a prolonged crisis. The team has now gone 12 league matches without a victory, collecting just two points from their last eleven games. Their most recent result was a 1-2 home defeat to Eintracht Frankfurt on April 11, further extending their poor run.
Defensively, Wolfsburg have been the weakest side in the league, conceding 65 goals overall — the worst record in the Bundesliga. Away from home, they have allowed 34 goals, averaging 2.4 conceded per match. They have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 22 matches in all competitions, underlining the scale of their defensive problems. On the attacking side, they have managed to score an average of 1.3 goals per game, but their inability to protect leads has cost them valuable points.
Interestingly, 8 of Wolfsburg’s last 10 away matches have seen both teams score, and 7 of their last 9 Bundesliga games have produced over 2.5 total goals. These trends suggest that while Wolfsburg’s defense remains vulnerable, their matches tend to be open and entertaining, with plenty of scoring opportunities at both ends.
When Union Berlin and VfL Wolfsburg meet, goals are usually on the cards. Four of their last seven head-to-head encounters have featured goals from both sides, and the last meeting ended 3-1 in favor of Wolfsburg in December 2025. Both teams are currently struggling to find form, but their defensive issues make a high-scoring contest likely.
Union’s main challenge lies in tightening their back line, as they have conceded an average of 2.17 goals per match in their last six league outings. Wolfsburg, on the other hand, must rediscover confidence after a long winless streak. Neither side has a standout individual performer capable of turning the tide alone, meaning teamwork and discipline will be crucial. Given the statistical patterns, it would not be surprising to see both teams find the net again in this encounter.
With Union Berlin’s home advantage and Wolfsburg’s desperate need for points, the match could swing either way. However, the data strongly supports the likelihood of goals on both sides, as both defenses have been leaking consistently throughout the season.
Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Union Berlin
VfL Wolfsburg
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
3
7
6
4
3.5
4
6
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1