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FC Utrecht
2:30 PM
October 24, 2026
PEC Zwolle
Prediction published on Oct 22, 2026 2:41 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eredivisie | Modified on Oct 22, 2026 2:41 PM
FC Utrecht host PEC Zwolle at Stadion Galgenwaard on October 24 in the tenth round of the Eredivisie. Utrecht have won three of their last five matches and sit 11th, while 15th-placed Zwolle arrive after ending a difficult run with a 4-1 victory over Go Ahead Eagles. Both teams have recently been involved in high-scoring games, making their defensive records as relevant to this match preview as their latest wins. Utrecht have the stronger recent form and are unbeaten in the five head-to-head meetings covered by the supplied record, but Zwolle’s four-goal performance last time out gives the visitors a positive result to build on.
FC Utrecht have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat across their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.0 goals and conceding 2.2 per game in that stretch. Their most recent outing was a 2-1 away win against FC Twente on October 18. A 3-1 victory over Willem II Tilburg also features in their recent run, offering further evidence of their ability to score more than once. The 3-3 draw with Go Ahead Eagles was entertaining for different reasons: Utrecht found the net three times but could not turn that attacking output into a win.
Their Eredivisie season record stands at three wins, two draws and four defeats. Across those matches, Utrecht have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.9 conceded, so their improved results have not removed the need for defensive care. The 5-0 defeat to Feyenoord remains a particularly sharp contrast with their recent victories, and the source article also notes a heavy loss against PSV earlier in the season. Utrecht’s attacking form gives them reason for confidence at home, but the goals conceded in those results show why the contest cannot be judged on their three recent wins alone.
Goals have been a consistent feature of Utrecht’s fixtures. Their last nine Eredivisie matches have each contained over 2.5 total goals, while their last 11 home league games have all featured over 1.5 total goals. Those figures describe goals scored by both sides combined, rather than Utrecht’s goals alone. Another point to watch is their record before the interval: Utrecht have been behind at half-time in six of their last ten Eredivisie matches. A strong finish to recent games does not necessarily mean they will have an easy start against Zwolle.
PEC Zwolle travel to Utrecht following a 4-1 win over Go Ahead Eagles on October 18. That result ended a sequence of defeats against Cambuur, Groningen and Feyenoord. It also gave Zwolle an attacking response after the 3-0 loss to Groningen and the 7-0 defeat to Feyenoord highlighted their defensive difficulties. Their latest victory is an important change of result, though it remains their only win in their last five matches.
Across that five-game period, Zwolle have taken one win, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per match. Their Eredivisie record is two wins, one draw and six losses, with season averages of 1.1 goals for and 2.4 against. The four goals scored against Go Ahead Eagles therefore stand out against their wider scoring average. The question for Zwolle is whether they can carry some of that attacking output into an away match while limiting the chances available to Utrecht.
Zwolle’s away statistics underline why their defending will be closely watched. They have conceded at least once in 19 of their last 20 away matches, and each of their last 19 away Eredivisie games has produced over 1.5 total goals. There has also been at least one second-half goal in each of those 19 away league fixtures. That second-half pattern extends to their last 11 Eredivisie matches overall. None of these runs guarantees a repeat on October 24, but together they show how regularly Zwolle’s games have continued to produce goals after the break.
The home side bring better recent results into this meeting, while Zwolle arrive with a much-needed win of their own. Utrecht’s three victories in five matches compare with Zwolle’s one, and the supplied head-to-head record also favours the hosts: three Utrecht wins and two draws in the last five meetings, with no Zwolle victory. The latest encounter finished 1-1 on February 22, 2026, a reminder that the broader record has not made every meeting a Utrecht win.
There are two clear sides to Utrecht’s outlook. Their recent scoring average and nine-match run of Eredivisie games with over 2.5 total goals point to opportunities in front of goal, especially against a Zwolle team that has conceded in nearly all of its last 20 away matches. At the same time, Utrecht’s own goals-against figures leave room for the visitors to make an impact. Zwolle scored four in their latest win, although their five-match and season averages suggest that performance should not be treated as their usual output.
This Eredivisie fixture therefore pairs Utrecht’s stronger form with defensive concerns on both sides. The hosts have reason to pursue another victory at Stadion Galgenwaard, but Zwolle’s recent response against Go Ahead Eagles makes the visitors difficult to dismiss as an attacking threat. With Utrecht’s run of high-scoring league matches and Zwolle’s long sequence of away games featuring at least two total goals, the overall goals record is the clearest statistical theme heading into the match.
FC Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Utrecht
PEC Zwolle
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
1
9
3
7
3.5
4
6
5
5
4.5
5
5
8
2