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Prediction published on Oct 23, 2025 7:03 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eredivisie | Modified on Oct 23, 2025 7:30 PM
On October 25, FC Volendam host Heracles Almelo at the Kras Stadion in the tenth round of the Eredivisie. This fixture already carries significant weight for both sides, as they occupy the bottom two places in the table — Volendam sitting 17th and Heracles 18th. With both clubs struggling to find form, every point could prove crucial in the battle to avoid relegation.
FC Volendam have endured a difficult start to their Eredivisie campaign, collecting just one win from nine league matches. Their only victory came in a 2-1 home success against PEC Zwolle, while they have also managed four draws against Ajax, Telstar, AZ Alkmaar, and Heerenveen. However, defeats to Utrecht (3-1), Fortuna Sittard (1-0), Excelsior (2-1), and Go Ahead Eagles (3-0) underline their inconsistency.
Despite their struggles, Volendam’s home form offers a glimmer of hope. They have scored in each of their last 19 home matches, and over 1.5 total goals have been recorded in the last 19 games at the Kras Stadion. Their attack, though not prolific, has shown resilience, averaging 1.1 goals scored per match this season. Defensively, however, the team has been fragile, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game and failing to keep a clean sheet in their last 13 fixtures.
Volendam’s recent 3-1 defeat to FC Utrecht on October 18 highlighted their defensive vulnerabilities once again. Yet, their ability to find the net in nearly every home game suggests they can trouble Heracles, whose defense has been even more porous. The home crowd at the Kras Stadion could play a vital role in pushing the team to a much-needed result.
Heracles Almelo’s season has been nothing short of disastrous. The visitors have lost eight of their nine Eredivisie matches, conceding a staggering 27 goals in that span — an average of 3.0 per game. Their most recent outing was a humiliating 7-0 defeat to Feyenoord on October 19, following heavy losses to Groningen (4-0), Utrecht (4-0), and NEC Nijmegen (4-1). The team’s defensive structure has completely collapsed, and confidence appears to be at an all-time low.
Heracles have not drawn any of their last 15 league matches, a sign of their all-or-nothing approach that has mostly ended in defeat. Their attack, led by Justin Hornkamp, has shown occasional flashes of quality, averaging 0.8 goals per match, but their defensive frailties have overshadowed any offensive progress. The side’s only win this season came against Sparta Rotterdam (3-0), a result that now feels like a distant memory.
On the road, Heracles have been particularly poor, conceding multiple goals in nearly every away fixture. Over 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 14 Eredivisie matches, and over 0.5 goals in the second half have occurred in 19 of their last 21 away games. These patterns suggest another open contest could be on the cards in Volendam.
This encounter brings together two of the league’s most vulnerable defenses, which could lead to a high-scoring affair. Both teams have conceded in nearly every match this season, and their head-to-head history also points toward balance and goals — their last meeting ended 1-1 in January 2024. Across their last four meetings, Volendam remain unbeaten (1 win, 3 draws), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game against Heracles.
For Volendam, the key will be to exploit Heracles’ defensive disorganization. The home side’s attacking rhythm has been inconsistent, but their ability to score at the Kras Stadion gives them a slight edge. Heracles, meanwhile, must find a way to stabilize their back line, which has conceded four or more goals in four separate matches this season. Without a major tactical overhaul, they risk another heavy defeat.
Both sides are desperate for points, and this urgency could lead to an open, end-to-end contest. Volendam’s marginally better organization and home advantage may tilt the balance slightly in their favor, but given both teams’ defensive issues, goals at both ends seem likely.
The most likely outcome is a FC Volendam win (1) with a 54% probability. The Draw (X) and Heracles Almelo win (2) both stand at 23%. Additionally, the data suggests a strong chance of goals, with Over 2.5 goals at 58% and Both Teams To Score – Yes at 57%. Considering the defensive records and attacking tendencies of both sides, a home victory in a match featuring goals at both ends appears the most plausible scenario.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Volendam
Heracles Almelo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
9
1
6
4
4.5
10
0
9
1