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Prediction published on Oct 7, 2026 6:15 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Oct 7, 2026 6:15 PM
FC Volendam host Vitesse at Kras Stadion on Friday, October 9, in an Eerste Divisie match between two sides separated by just two points. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:00 local time. Volendam sit 11th with 12 points from nine games, while eighth-placed Vitesse have 14. The home side have lost three of their last five matches, but their results at Kras Stadion offer a different perspective: they have won four consecutive home games. Vitesse arrive after a 2-2 draw with NAC Breda and will be looking to improve on an away run that includes three defeats in their last five trips.
FC Volendam have recorded four wins and five defeats in their first nine league fixtures, with no draws. Across those games, they have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Their recent results have been less productive overall: two wins and three losses in the last five, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded.
Where Volendam play has made a clear difference in that recent stretch. They beat FC Den Bosch 2-0 and VVV-Venlo 3-2 at home, but lost their three away games against FC Emmen, Jong AZ and Almere City. Those defeats came by scores of 5-3, 4-1 and 1-0 respectively. The latest was the narrow loss to Almere City on October 3. Returning home gives Volendam a chance to build on their four-match winning streak at Kras Stadion rather than dwell on another setback on the road.
The scores also show why their matches can be difficult to assess on recent form alone. Volendam kept a clean sheet against FC Den Bosch, then conceded twice while beating VVV-Venlo. Away from home, they scored three times at FC Emmen but still lost. For this FC Volendam vs Vitesse preview, their home results are the strongest counterpoint to a five-game record containing more defeats than wins.
Vitesse have made a steadier start in terms of points, taking four wins, two draws and three defeats from nine Eerste Divisie games. Their season averages stand at 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Over the last five fixtures, they have won twice, drawn once and lost twice, scoring and conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game.
Victories over TOP Oss 2-1 and Jong PSV 3-1 account for their two wins in that five-match sequence. Vitesse also lost 1-0 to Roda JC and 2-0 to Heracles Almelo before drawing 2-2 with NAC Breda on October 3. The NAC result ended their most recent game with a point, though it also means they have conceded in three of the five matches listed.
There are notable first-half figures in Vitesse's away record. At least one goal has been scored before half-time in each of their last 11 away league matches; that figure refers to total goals in those games, not necessarily goals scored by Vitesse. They have also been ahead at half-time in six of their last ten away Eerste Divisie fixtures. Those numbers make the opening period worth watching, even as their three defeats in the last five away games underline the challenge of this visit.
The contrast between Volendam's home run and Vitesse's mixed away results is central to this Eerste Divisie meeting. Volendam have won four straight at Kras Stadion, including the two recent home victories that account for all their wins in the last five matches. Vitesse are two points better off overall, but three defeats in their last five away fixtures leave them with a difficult recent record to take into this game.
Goals could still play a significant part. Volendam's season averages are 2.2 scored and 1.9 conceded, while Vitesse's are 1.7 scored and 1.4 conceded. In the last five games, Volendam's defensive average has risen to 2.4 conceded per match. At the same time, their 3-2 home win over VVV-Venlo showed they can collect three points in a game where both sides score. Vitesse's recent 3-1 win over Jong PSV and 2-2 draw with NAC Breda add to the range of possible scorelines.
Volendam also have the better record in the supplied five-match head-to-head summary, with three wins, one draw and one defeat against Vitesse. They have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across those meetings. That history, together with the four consecutive home wins, gives Volendam grounds for confidence. Vitesse's higher points total and their record of strong first halves away from home, however, mean the hosts cannot rely on their home streak alone. The match brings together Volendam's clearest strength this season and a visiting side that has shown it can start away games well.
FC Volendam vs Vitesse prediction from BetMines: FC Volendam win (1) with 45% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Volendam
Vitesse
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
5
5
7
3
4.5
5
5
9
1