Tools
Prediction published on Sep 24, 2026 6:09 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Sep 24, 2026 6:09 PM
FC Volendam welcome VVV-Venlo to the Kras Stadion on Saturday, September 26, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 local time. The Eerste Divisie fixture brings together two teams who have made contrasting starts to the season. FC Volendam are 13th after collecting nine points from seven matches, while VVV-Venlo sit third with 15 points from the same number of games. However, the hosts have produced much stronger results at home than away, giving them reason for confidence despite their lower league position. VVV-Venlo arrive in better overall form and have won four of their last five matches, so this contest promises to provide an important examination of Volendam's perfect home record. With both teams averaging more than two goals scored per game, the available statistics also point towards an entertaining encounter in Volendam.
FC Volendam have recorded three wins and four defeats in their opening seven Eerste Divisie matches, without drawing a game. Their average of 2.4 goals scored per fixture shows that they have carried a considerable attacking threat, although an average of two goals conceded highlights the problems that have contributed to their inconsistent start.
Their last five matches have delivered two victories and three defeats. Across that period, FC Volendam averaged 2.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded, indicating that their games have regularly featured opportunities at both ends. Their most recent result was a 4-1 defeat against Jong AZ on September 18, extending the contrast between their performances at home and on the road.
Away from home, Volendam have lost 1-0 against MVV Maastricht, 5-3 against FC Emmen and 4-1 against Jong AZ. Their results at the Kras Stadion have been entirely different. They defeated TOP Oss 3-0, overcame FC Dordrecht 6-1 and then beat FC Den Bosch 2-0. Those three home victories produced 11 goals for FC Volendam and only one against them.
That home sequence is central to the match preview. Although Volendam are below their visitors in the standings and have lost more games than they have won, they have not dropped a point in the three home results provided. They have also scored at least twice in each of those fixtures. Reproducing that level of attacking output will be essential against one of the division's strongest early-season performers.
VVV-Venlo have opened their Eerste Divisie campaign with five wins and two defeats. Their average of 2.7 goals scored per match is slightly higher than FC Volendam's season figure, while their average of 1.6 conceded is lower than that of the home side. Those numbers help explain why VVV-Venlo enter this round in third place.
The visitors have won four of their last five matches and lost once, scoring an average of 2.8 goals and conceding 1.4 per game during that run. Their latest outing ended in a 3-1 away victory over Jong FC Utrecht on September 18. Earlier in the season they beat De Graafschap 2-1 and FC Emmen 4-0 before suffering a 4-2 defeat against Helmond Sport. They also recorded a 3-1 victory over TOP Oss.
Goals have been a consistent feature of VVV-Venlo's league fixtures. Their last 10 Eerste Divisie matches have all contained more than 1.5 total goals. In addition, at least one second-half goal has been scored in 32 of their last 34 matches across all competitions and in 31 of their last 33 Eerste Divisie games.
The visitors therefore bring both strong results and notable attacking production into this away match. Their 3-1 win over Jong FC Utrecht shows that they can deliver on the road, but they now face a Volendam side whose three listed home games have all ended in convincing victories.
This fixture sets FC Volendam's excellent home results against VVV-Venlo's superior league position and recent form. The hosts have struggled badly away, but their record at the Kras Stadion presents a very different picture. Three home wins, 11 goals scored and only one conceded suggest that their 13th-place ranking does not fully describe the challenge they can pose in this particular setting.
VVV-Venlo nevertheless have the stronger season record, with five victories compared with Volendam's three. They are also averaging 2.7 goals per league game and have won four of their last five fixtures. Their recent scoring rate of 2.8 per match means the hosts cannot rely solely on their previous home clean sheets.
The head-to-head summary is evenly balanced, with FC Volendam recording two wins, one draw and two defeats against VVV-Venlo. Both teams have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game across those meetings. The latest encounter ended in a 2-1 result on August 2, 2025. Current win probabilities also underline the competitive nature of the matchup: FC Volendam are rated at 42%, the draw at 26% and VVV-Venlo at 32%.
Goals appear to be the clearest statistical theme. Both teams are averaging above 2.4 goals scored this season, while Volendam have conceded two per league game and VVV-Venlo 1.6. The supplied probabilities place both teams to score at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%. Volendam's three home results have all reached at least two total goals, with two of them going beyond the 2.5-goal line, while VVV-Venlo's last 10 league fixtures have all produced more than 1.5 goals. Taken together, the attacking averages and recent scorelines support the prospect of another match with several goals.
FC Volendam vs VVV-Venlo prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 64% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
FC Volendam
VVV-Venlo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
4
6
1
9
3.5
4
6
3
7
4.5
4
6
6
4