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Felgueiras 1932
2 - 1
FT
Chaves
Prediction published on Aug 28, 2026 6:07 PM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal 2 | Modified on Aug 28, 2026 6:07 PM
Felgueiras 1932 welcome Chaves on August 30, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 17:00 local time at the Estádio Dr. Machado de Matos. This fourth-round Liga Portugal 2 fixture brings together two teams still searching for their first league victory of the season. The hosts have remained unbeaten through three consecutive draws, while the visitors have collected one point from their opening three matches. Felgueiras enter the contest in 10th place, compared with Chaves in 18th, but the narrow win probabilities underline how competitive the match could be: the home side are rated at 36%, the draw at 31%, and an away victory at 33%. Recent results nevertheless point towards contrasting levels of stability, with Felgueiras proving difficult to defeat and Chaves struggling to contain opponents.
Felgueiras 1932 are yet to win in the current Liga Portugal 2 campaign, but they have also avoided defeat. Their record stands at three draws from three matches, with averages of 0.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. The sequence began with a goalless result against Feirense before successive 1-1 draws against AVS and Farense. Their most recent appearance came away to Farense on August 24, when they once again shared the points.
The broader five-match record offers further evidence of Felgueiras' consistency. They have registered one win, four draws and no defeats during that period, scoring an average of 0.8 goals and conceding only 0.6. Those numbers describe a team whose main strength has been limiting opposition opportunities. At the same time, a modest attacking return has prevented the hosts from turning more of their competitive performances into victories.
The trend is especially clear in their home fixtures. Each of the last 13 home matches played by Felgueiras in Liga Portugal 2 has finished with fewer than 3.5 total goals. Two of their previous 10 home league games ended without a goal, while five of their last 15 league matches overall also produced a 0-0 scoreline. These figures make another controlled, low-scoring contest a realistic expectation.
Home form may still give Felgueiras confidence as they pursue their first three-point return of the season. They can extend their unbeaten run at their own ground to five matches by avoiding defeat here. The most recent head-to-head meeting also went their way, with Felgueiras recording a 1-0 victory over Chaves on January 31, 2026.
Chaves travel to Felgueiras after a difficult opening to their league campaign. Their current record is one draw and two defeats, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 2.3 conceded per fixture. Their only point came in a 2-2 draw against AVS on August 23, a match in which their attacking contribution was not enough to overcome further defensive problems.
Across their last five matches, Chaves have posted no wins, one draw and four defeats. They averaged only 0.6 goals scored during that run while allowing 2.0 per game. This combination of limited attacking output and a high concession rate explains the difficult sequence. The visitors have already conceded seven league goals, leaving their defensive performance as the clearest concern ahead of this trip.
However, the away statistics add a different element to the preview. Chaves have not drawn any of their last 18 away matches in all competitions, including their previous 17 away fixtures in Liga Portugal 2. That pattern stands in sharp contrast to Felgueiras' run of draws and suggests that one of the two trends may have to end. Chaves have also approached recent away games more cautiously, with four of their last five trips producing only one total goal.
There has consistently been some action after the interval in Chaves' league games. More than 0.5 second-half goals have been recorded in each of their last 17 Liga Portugal 2 matches. Even if the first part of the contest is measured, that statistic indicates that the match could become more open as it progresses.
The available evidence presents Felgueiras 1932 as the more stable side. They remain unbeaten, concede an average of only 0.7 league goals per game and have lost none of their last five matches. Their challenge is to add greater attacking efficiency. Three consecutive draws show that defensive organisation alone has not yet been enough to secure a league victory.
Chaves arrive with greater defensive vulnerability. Their season average of 2.3 goals conceded is considerably higher than that of the hosts, while four defeats in five matches underline their lack of positive momentum. Even so, Felgueiras' low scoring average means the visitors may not face constant attacking pressure. The balance between a restrained home attack and an unsettled away defence should shape the contest.
The head-to-head record is balanced, with Felgueiras recording two wins, one draw and two defeats. Across those meetings, they averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. That history does not establish a decisive advantage for either side, but the latest encounter and current defensive numbers slightly strengthen the hosts' case. Nevertheless, the 36% home-win probability is only narrowly ahead of the 33% assigned to Chaves, so a one-sided game is not strongly indicated.
The goal markets provide a clearer direction. Under 2.5 goals carries a 62% probability, compared with 38% for the over, while Both Teams To Score is rated at 45% for Yes and 55% for No. Felgueiras' long sequence of low-scoring home fixtures, their average of 0.8 goals scored across the last five matches and Chaves' cautious recent away games all support a contest with limited scoring. The visitors' defensive record creates some uncertainty, but the hosts have not yet shown the attacking production required to make a high-scoring outcome the leading scenario.
Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 62% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Felgueiras 1932
Chaves
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
7
3
4
6
3.5
10
0
6
4
4.5
10
0
7
3