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Felgueiras 1932
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Chaves
Prediction published on Jan 29, 2026 1:02 PM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal 2 | Modified on Jan 29, 2026 1:02 PM
The upcoming clash between Felgueiras 1932 and Desportivo Chaves promises to be a key fixture in the 20th round of Liga Portugal 2. Scheduled for Saturday morning, this encounter brings together two sides with contrasting recent trajectories. While Felgueiras are edging dangerously close to the relegation zone, Chaves continue to chase a spot near the top three. The match will be played at the Estádio Dr. Machado Matos and could have significant implications for both teams’ ambitions in the second half of the season.
Felgueiras 1932 have been one of the pleasant surprises of the campaign, especially considering their limited budget compared to other clubs in Liga Portugal 2. However, their recent form has raised some concerns. After a home defeat to Leixões (0-1), they managed to respond with a valuable 1-1 draw away to league leaders Marítimo. Despite that, the team has now gone three consecutive matches without a win, which has seen their cushion above the relegation zone shrink to just three points.
Currently sitting 11th in the table with 24 points, Felgueiras have shown resilience but lack consistency in front of goal. Their last five matches have produced two wins, two draws, and one defeat, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, they have recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. One notable trend is their tendency to see action after the break — there have been over 0.5 goals in the second half in 27 of their last 29 matches, a pattern that continues in their league fixtures.
Playing at home, Felgueiras will be eager to rediscover their winning touch and distance themselves from the lower end of the table. Their defensive organization has been solid, but they will need more attacking sharpness to overcome a Chaves side that travels well.
Desportivo Chaves have endured a frustrating run of results, collecting just one point from their last four matches. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-2 draw against Lusitânia Lourosa, following three consecutive defeats. Despite this dip, Chaves remain within touching distance of the promotion race — only two points separate them from third place, thanks in part to the struggles of other contenders.
Chaves’ overall record in Liga Portugal 2 stands at 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their away form has been particularly impressive, making them the second-best team on the road this season. In their last five matches, they have registered one win, one draw, and three losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Another key statistic is that they have avoided trailing at half-time in 18 of their last 20 league matches, highlighting their ability to stay competitive early in games.
Chaves’ attacking potential, especially away from home, could be decisive in this fixture. If they manage to replicate their usual efficiency on the road, they stand a strong chance of returning north with valuable points.
The head-to-head record between these sides is fairly balanced, with Felgueiras winning once, drawing once, and losing twice in their last four meetings. Their most recent encounter ended 1-1 in August 2025, suggesting another tight contest could be on the cards. Statistically, both teams tend to produce low-scoring matches — Under 2.5 goals has been the most frequent outcome, appearing in the majority of their recent fixtures.
Felgueiras’ home advantage could help them stay competitive, but Chaves’ strong away record and attacking consistency make them slight favorites to avoid defeat. The visitors’ ability to score on the road, combined with Felgueiras’ recent struggles in front of goal, points toward a balanced but cautious affair.
According to the latest probabilities, the match outcome distribution stands at Felgueiras 1932 win: 38%, Draw: 28%, and Chaves win: 33%. The Both Teams To Score – No option leads with 55%, while Under 2.5 goals is also favored at 55% likelihood. These figures reinforce the expectation of a close, low-scoring encounter.
Given the current form and statistical trends, the most reasonable approach is to side with the visitors not losing. Chaves’ resilience away from home and Felgueiras’ inconsistency suggest that the visitors are well-positioned to take at least a point from this match.
Felgueiras 1932 vs Desportivo Chaves prediction from BetMines: Double Chance – Desportivo Chaves or Draw (X2) with 67% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Felgueiras 1932
Chaves
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
3
7
0
10
1.5
7
3
2
8
2.5
8
2
4
6
3.5
10
0
7
3
4.5
10
0
7
3