Tools
Prediction published on Oct 16, 2026 10:02 AM by Dario in Turkey - Super Lig | Modified on Oct 16, 2026 10:02 AM
Fenerbahçe return to Super Lig action against Alanyaspor on October 17, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 16:00 local time at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium in İstanbul. The hosts are fourth and the visitors sixth, with just one point between them. Fenerbahçe must respond to a heavy European defeat, while Alanyaspor arrive with only one loss in their last seven matches. The home side’s scoring record and unbeaten run against these opponents make this an important test of how quickly they can recover.
Fenerbahçe suffered a 6-0 defeat against Aston Villa on October 14. That result contrasts sharply with their previous home match, an 8-0 win over Eyupspor, and puts their response in focus ahead of Alanyaspor’s visit. Across their last five matches, Fenerbahçe have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Their Super Lig record stands at four wins, one draw and two losses, with averages of 2.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Fenerbahçe have found the net in each of their last 14 home matches, including their last 12 at home in the Super Lig. Those runs give the hosts a clear attacking foundation, even after their setback against Aston Villa.
There is also a notable pattern after the interval. At least one second-half goal has been scored in Fenerbahçe’s last 11 home Super Lig matches and in 20 of their last 22 league games overall. These figures refer to goals by either team, rather than goals scored by Fenerbahçe alone. A quiet first half, therefore, would not necessarily mean the match will stay that way.
Alanyaspor come into the fixture after a 0-0 draw with Erzurumspor FK on October 10. They are unbeaten in four matches, winning two of them, and have lost just once in their last seven. Their most recent five games have brought two wins, two draws and one defeat, alongside averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. That sequence suggests the visitors can make this competitive despite Fenerbahçe’s stronger head-to-head record.
In the Super Lig this season, Alanyaspor have three wins, three draws and one loss. They average 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match. Their away results require a closer look: they have won only two of their last 12 on the road, but both victories came in their two latest away outings. That recent improvement gives them encouragement as they face a side trying to put a 6-0 defeat behind them.
Second-half scoring has been common in Alanyaspor’s matches too, with at least one goal after the break in 26 of their last 29 games. Yet their latest result was goalless, and two of their last 10 Super Lig fixtures have finished without a goal. Their recent record points to resilience, but not to a guaranteed high-scoring contest.
The contrast between Fenerbahçe’s two latest results is a central part of this preview. They followed an emphatic 8-0 home win over Eyupspor with a 6-0 loss to Aston Villa. Back in domestic competition, their sustained home scoring run offers reason to expect a response, while Alanyaspor’s recent form suggests the visitors should not be dismissed.
The head-to-head figures favor Fenerbahçe. They are unbeaten in nine meetings with Alanyaspor, and the supplied five-match summary records three Fenerbahçe wins and two draws, with averages of 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The most recent meeting, on January 18, 2026, had a 2-3 scoreline. That history strengthens the hosts’ case, although Alanyaspor’s two latest away wins give this encounter a different immediate context.
Both teams have conceded an average of 0.9 goals per Super Lig match this season, so the result may depend on whether Fenerbahçe can turn their higher scoring average into chances that count. The hosts’ recent home scoring streak and stronger league goal output stand against an Alanyaspor side that has been difficult to beat lately. With only one point separating them, the visitors have reason to approach the match with confidence; Fenerbahçe, however, have the home record and head-to-head results to support their bid for three points.
Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor prediction from BetMines: Fenerbahçe win (1) with 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Fenerbahçe
Alanyaspor
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
8
2
10
0