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Fenerbahce vs Benfica Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Champions League Qualifying Playoff

Fenerbahçe

0 - 0

FT

Benfica

Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium
D. Siebert
sky is clear °C

Prediction published on Aug 19, 2025 8:20 AM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Aug 19, 2025 9:33 AM

After making their league debuts last weekend, Fenerbahce and Benfica face each other on Wednesday, August 20, in the first leg of a decisive playoff to qualify for the upcoming UEFA Champions League. At the Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium in Istanbul, the first leg of the UCL qualification playoff takes place, with the return fixture scheduled for August 27 at the Estádio da Luz. The hosts, led by the experienced José Mourinho, have been absent from Europe’s top competition since the 2008/09 season and return to a playoff 12 years after their last attempt, when they were eliminated by Arsenal. International experience is not lacking for the Turkish side, having taken part in the last three editions of the Europa League, reaching the Round of 16 twice. In the second qualifying round, Fenerbahce eliminated a tough opponent in Feyenoord: after losing 2-1 in Rotterdam, they sealed their spot with a dominant 5-2 win in the return leg. In their Turkish Super Lig opener, they only managed a draw against Goztepe, but it’s fair to assume their focus was already on this clash with the Portuguese giants. Benfica, on the other hand, met expectations in their Primeira Liga debut, defeating Estrela Amadora 1-0. Bruno Lage’s men are regulars in the Champions League, having participated in nearly every edition since 2010. Their experience, combined with a strong summer transfer campaign, was evident in their second-round tie against Nice, which they won 2-0 both home and away. On paper, Benfica are favorites to progress, but the first leg in Istanbul could hold surprises. While the Eagles will look to impose their European pedigree, the Turks are eager to return to the Champions League, driven by their passionate home crowd and Mourinho’s tactical acumen.

 

Fenerbahce's Recent Form and Key Stats

It’s been a mixed start to the season for Fenerbahce, with one win, one draw, and one defeat in their first three official matches of 2025/26. In their league opener on August 16, Mourinho’s side drew 0-0 away at Goztepe, failing to capitalize on a two-man advantage for 20 minutes and missing a 94th-minute penalty with Talisca.

For the clash against Benfica, the Portuguese manager will once again be without experienced center-back Rodrigo Becao. Even so, he seems likely to stick with a three-man defense, while up front John Duran and Youssef En-Nesyri should form the strike partnership. Sebastian Szymanski will operate behind them, with Brazilian Talisca expected to come off the bench.

 

Benfica's Recent Form and Key Stats

Benfica head into this crucial encounter full of confidence, having won all four of their matches so far this season. After lifting the Super Cup against Sporting CP and eliminating Nice in the qualifiers, Bruno Lage’s men started their Primeira Liga campaign on August 16 with a 1-0 win over Estrela Amadora, thanks to a Pavlidis penalty.

Beyond their winning streak, what stands out is that Trubin and his teammates have yet to concede a single goal this season. However, the Portuguese side are missing several key players, including Bruma, Manu Silva, Alexander Bah, and Tomas Araujo. Up front, there is no doubt about Vangelis Pavlidis’ presence, who has already scored twice this season, supported by new signing Franjo Ivanovic.

 

Fenerbahce vs Benfica Prediction and Tactical Overview

José Mourinho knows very well that much of the qualification will be decided in this first leg in front of his home fans, given that overturning a poor result at the Estádio da Luz a week later would be extremely difficult.

For this reason, Fenerbahce are expected to take the initiative but must avoid losing possession in dangerous areas, which could open the door to Benfica’s counterattacks. The hosts will likely rely on their wing-backs, Brown and Semedo, to trouble the visitors’ defense and deliver dangerous balls to the two strikers.

Benfica, on the other hand, won’t need to force the tempo, with the return leg at home still to come. Bruno Lage’s side, weakened by absences, may concede their first goal of the season under Fenerbahce’s pressure. Still, given the defensive vulnerabilities shown by the Turkish side so far, Pavlidis and company are also expected to find the net.

  • Fenerbahce vs Benfica prediction from BetMines: Both teams to score at least one goal at 64% probability

  • Fenerbahce vs Benfica prediction from BetMines : At least one team not to score at 36% probability

 

Probable Lineups Fenerbahce vs Benfica

FENERBAHCE (3-4-1-2): Egribayat; Muldur, Skirniar, Oosterwolde; Semedo, Amrabat, Fred, Brown; Szymanski; Duran, En-Nesyri. Coach: José Mourinho

BENFICA (4-4-2): Trubin; Dedic, Silva, Otamendi, Dahl; Aursnes, Barrenechea, Rios, Schjelderup; Pavlidis, Ivanovic. Coach: Bruno Lage

Fenerbahçe vs Benfica - Predictions

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Fenerbahçe vs Benfica: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Fenerbahçe

Benfica

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

0%

0

100%

10

2.5

30%

3

70%

7

20%

2

80%

8

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Fenerbahçe and Benfica in Champions League

Who will win ?

Fenerbahçe vs Benfica: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Fenerbahçe vs Benfica be played?
The Champions League match between Fenerbahçe and Benfica will be played on August 20, 2025 at 19:00.
Where will Fenerbahçe vs Benfica be played?
The match between Fenerbahçe and Benfica will be played at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium, İstanbul - Europe
Who will referee Fenerbahçe vs Benfica?
The referee for the match will be D. Siebert.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Fenerbahçe vs Benfica in the Champions League?
The odds are: Fenerbahçe to win 2.87, draw 3.40, Benfica to win 2.40.
What are the betting odds for Fenerbahçe vs Benfica for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Champions League?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.85 and Under 2.5 at 1.95.
Will both Fenerbahçe and Benfica score in the Champions League?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.66, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.10.
What are the head-to-head results between Fenerbahçe and Benfica?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Fenerbahçe and Benfica, Fenerbahçe won 1 times, Benfica won 2, and 1 ended in a draw.

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