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Prediction published on Apr 4, 2026 2:02 AM by Dario in Turkey - Super Lig | Modified on Apr 4, 2026 2:02 AM
The Turkish Super Lig weekend promises fireworks as Fenerbahçe and Beşiktaş face off in a high-stakes derby that could have major implications for the title race. With both teams sitting in the top four, this clash between the second and fourth-placed sides is set to be one of the most anticipated fixtures of the season. The hosts come into this match after a convincing 4-1 victory over Gaziantep, while the visitors also secured a 2-1 win against Kasımpaşa. Both sides are in strong form, and the rivalry adds an extra layer of intensity to what already looks like a thrilling encounter.
Fenerbahçe have been one of the most consistent teams in the Super Lig this season. They currently occupy second place with an impressive record of 17 wins, 9 draws, and just 1 defeat. Their attacking output has been remarkable, averaging 2.3 goals per game while conceding only 1.0. The team’s recent form also reflects their dominance, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.6 goals and conceding 1.4.
At home, the Yellow Canaries have been nearly unstoppable. They are unbeaten in their last 12 home league matches, scoring in every one of them. In fact, over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 11 home games, showing their attacking consistency. Their matches are also known for high corner counts, with over 7.5 corners recorded in 26 of their last 27 fixtures. Defensively, they have shown resilience, avoiding defeat in 24 of their last 25 league games. With such numbers, Fenerbahçe will look to capitalize on their home advantage once again.
Beşiktaş have also enjoyed a strong campaign, sitting fourth in the standings with 15 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses. Their recent form has been excellent, with four wins and just one defeat in their last five outings. They average 1.8 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per match in that period, highlighting their balance between attack and defense. The team’s away form has been particularly impressive, remaining unbeaten in 19 of their last 20 matches on the road.
In addition, Beşiktaş have scored at least one goal in each of their last 13 away games and in 26 of their last 27 matches overall. Their matches tend to open up in the second half, with over 0.5 goals scored after halftime in 20 of their last 21 games. They have also shown strong starts, avoiding defeat at halftime in 21 of their last 23 league matches. With such consistency, the visitors will be confident of challenging Fenerbahçe even in a hostile environment.
The rivalry between Fenerbahçe and Beşiktaş has always been fierce, and recent meetings have been closely contested. In their last seven encounters, Beşiktaş hold a slight edge with four wins to Fenerbahçe’s three. The most recent clash ended 2-1 in favor of Beşiktaş, continuing a trend of tight games — each of the last five meetings has been decided by a single goal. Historically, Beşiktaş have also performed well away at Fenerbahçe, winning three of their last four visits.
Both teams are known for their attacking intent, and with the statistics pointing to frequent goals, this match could deliver another entertaining spectacle. Fenerbahçe’s home strength and Beşiktaş’s away resilience make this a balanced contest. Expect both sides to create chances, with the midfield battle likely determining the outcome. Given their recent scoring patterns, goals at both ends seem highly probable.
With both teams in strong form and boasting impressive attacking records, this derby looks set to be a high-scoring affair. Fenerbahçe’s home advantage gives them a slight edge, but Beşiktaş’s away record cannot be ignored. The visitors have been difficult to beat on the road, and their ability to score consistently makes them a dangerous opponent. Considering the balance of power and the recent head-to-head record, a draw or a narrow win for either side seems the most likely outcome.
From a betting perspective, the statistical trends strongly support a goal-rich match. Over 2.5 goals have been recorded in the majority of both teams’ recent fixtures, and both sides have scored in most of their games. The combination of attacking form and defensive vulnerabilities suggests that fans can expect an open and entertaining contest.
Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Fenerbahçe
Beşiktaş
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
5
5
9
1
4.5
8
2
9
1