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Fenerbahçe
5:00 PM
September 5, 2026
Beşiktaş
Prediction published on Sep 3, 2026 7:33 PM by Dario in Turkey - Super Lig | Modified on Sep 3, 2026 7:33 PM
A major İstanbul rivalry takes centre stage on Saturday, September 5, as Fenerbahçe host Beşiktaş in the Turkish Super Lig. Kick-off is scheduled for 17:00 local time at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium, with both clubs entering matchday four on six points. Fenerbahçe are fourth and Beşiktaş are third, so this early-season derby offers each side an opportunity to strengthen its position near the top of the standings. The two teams have identical league records of two victories and one defeat, while both are averaging 2.3 goals scored per match. Their recent results also add attacking intrigue to the fixture: Fenerbahçe arrive after a 2-0 success against Samsunspor, whereas Beşiktaş recorded an emphatic 6-2 win over Çorum FK. With local pride and valuable league points at stake, the contest promises to be one of the standout Super Lig matches of the weekend.
Fenerbahçe responded positively to their opening league defeat by claiming two consecutive victories. Their latest Super Lig appearance ended in a 2-0 away win against Samsunspor on August 30, extending the Yellow Canaries’ winning sequence while also delivering a clean sheet. Their domestic campaign now reads two wins and one loss, with averages of 2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per league fixture.
Across their last five matches, Fenerbahçe have registered three wins, one draw and one defeat. They have scored an average of 2.0 goals during that sequence and allowed 1.2 per game, indicating that their recent contests have generally included opportunities at both ends. Their European campaign has also provided a positive result, as they overcame Lyon 3-2 on aggregate in the Champions League qualifiers to advance to the league phase.
The hosts bring several notable scoring trends into this derby. They have found the net in each of their last 12 Super Lig home matches and have also scored at least once in their last 12 fixtures overall. In addition, 23 of their previous 24 league games have produced more than 1.5 total goals. That pattern suggests that attacking involvement from Fenerbahçe has been a regular feature rather than an isolated occurrence.
Fenerbahçe have also been effective before the interval, winning at half-time in each of their last three matches. However, their league games have continued to produce action later on, with at least one second-half goal recorded in their last 11 Super Lig contests. Those figures underline the need for the home side to maintain its level throughout the derby rather than relying solely on a fast start.
Beşiktaş approach the derby with the same league record as their hosts. The Black Eagles have collected two victories from their opening three Super Lig games, losing the other, and currently sit one place above Fenerbahçe. Their league averages stand at 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, giving them a slightly lower defensive average than Saturday’s opponents.
The visitors delivered their most eye-catching result of the campaign on August 31, defeating Çorum FK 6-2 at home. That performance was an emphatic response to the preceding 1-0 loss against Alanyaspor and demonstrated their capacity to turn attacking pressure into a high number of goals. Beşiktaş have three wins and two defeats across their last five matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded during that run.
Beşiktaş will also participate in the Europa League league phase after defeating Kauno Žalgiris 3-1 on aggregate in the playoffs. Their ability to navigate that tie adds another positive result to the opening weeks of their season, although this derby presents a different challenge against a rival with a long home scoring streak.
One of the visitors’ strongest trends concerns their first-half resilience. Beşiktaş have avoided being behind at the interval in 19 of their last 20 matches. That record sets up an interesting contrast with Fenerbahçe’s run of three straight half-time leads. The opening period could therefore be particularly important, with the hosts seeking another quick advantage and the visitors trying to preserve their impressive record before the break.
The available statistics point towards a competitive derby in which both teams possess clear attacking arguments. Fenerbahçe have scored in 12 consecutive home league fixtures, while Beşiktaş arrive immediately after putting six goals past Çorum FK. Both sides are averaging 2.3 goals per Super Lig match this season, and their recent five-game scoring averages are identical at 2.0.
Historical results nevertheless show how finely balanced this rivalry can be. From the five matches covered by the head-to-head summary, Fenerbahçe recorded two wins and Beşiktaş three, with no draws. From Fenerbahçe’s perspective, the average score across those meetings was 1.0 goal for and 1.2 against. The latest encounter finished 1-0 on April 5, 2026, illustrating that a closely fought and lower-scoring outcome cannot be dismissed despite the current attacking numbers.
The broader home history offers a different angle, as both teams scored in seven of Fenerbahçe’s last nine home league meetings with Beşiktaş. This is supported by the hosts’ ongoing scoring sequence at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium and the visitors’ productive start to the season. At the same time, neither defence has been flawless in league play: Fenerbahçe are conceding 1.3 per match, while Beşiktaş are allowing 1.0.
Fenerbahçe receive a 52% win probability, compared with 25% for the draw and 23% for a Beşiktaş victory. The home side therefore carry the statistical edge, but the scoring data make a clean-sheet route less certain. The Both Teams To Score assessment stands at 53% for Yes, while Over 2.5 goals is rated at 52%. Given the recurring home head-to-head pattern, Fenerbahçe’s reliable scoring record and Beşiktaş’s latest attacking display, goals from both rivals represent the most coherent conclusion.
Fenerbahçe vs Beşiktaş prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Fenerbahçe
Beşiktaş
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
6
4
2.5
6
4
7
3
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
9
1
8
2