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Prediction published on Nov 24, 2025 3:06 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Nov 24, 2025 4:17 PM
On Thursday, November 27, at the Şukru Saracoglu Stadium, Fenerbahce hosts Ferencvaros in one of the most intriguing fixtures of Europa League 2025/26 Matchday 5. The Turkish side must bounce back after the disappointing 0-0 draw against Viktoria Plzen on November 6 and is looking for a win that would help them improve their current 15th position on 6 points. The Yellow Canaries have a clear objective: re-enter the battle for the top eight spots, crucial to securing direct access to the Round of 16. On the other side, Ferencvaros is one of the surprises of the competition. The Hungarians, unbeaten after four matchdays, sit third with 10 points and come into this match following a convincing 3-1 win over Ludogorets. Robbie Keane’s team could even jump to the top of the overall table with a victory, should Freiburg and Midtjylland slip up, thus putting a strong hold on direct qualification to the Round of 16. This clash will reveal much about the European ambitions of both clubs: Fenerbahce is seeking momentum and redemption, while Ferencvaros wants to continue surprising everyone.
Fenerbahce is enjoying an excellent run, unbeaten in their last ten matches across all competitions with eight wins and two draws.
In their most recent match, played on November 21, they secured a convincing 5-2 away victory against Caykur Rizespor, confirming second place in the Super Lig, just one point behind Galatasaray.
Despite their strong domestic form, the Turks have struggled in the Europa League. After the first four matchdays, they sit only 15th with 7 points, the result of two wins (Nice, Stuttgart), one draw (Viktoria Plzen) and one defeat (Dinamo Zagreb).
Domenico Tedesco’s men have averaged one goal scored and one conceded per match so far—showing limited attacking efficiency in Europe but maintaining a fairly balanced defense.
Looking instead at their last five matches in all competitions (4 wins and 1 draw), their scoring average rises to 3.2 goals per game, highlighting a notable contrast between domestic and international performances.
Ferencvaros comes into this match after last weekend’s 3-1 defeat in NB I against Nyíregyháza, missing the chance to catch Debrecen at the top of the table.
That setback ended a four-match winning streak across all competitions, including the November 3 win over Ludogorets in the Europa League. More generally, they have lost only two of their last sixteen matches in all competitions.
The Hungarians are among the biggest surprises of this Europa League campaign, currently sitting third with 10 points thanks to three wins (Genk, Salzburg, Ludogorets) and one draw (Viktoria Plzen), just two points behind leaders Midtjylland.
In their first four Europa League matches, Robbie Keane’s team has averaged two goals scored and one conceded per game. Their attack is undoubtedly their main strength: in their last five matches (4 wins, 1 defeat), they have averaged three goals per match.
The prediction for Fenerbahce vs Ferencvaros clearly leans towards the home side, who aim to take full advantage of playing at the Şukru Saracoglu and stay in the fight for qualification. The Turks are unbeaten in their last twelve home matches and have won the five most recent ones, demonstrating a level of solidity that currently stands out as one of their main strengths.
Despite Ferencvaros’ excellent away form—eighteen consecutive away matches without defeat across all competitions—the Hungarians remain underdogs: the away win (2) is estimated at just 22% probability, while the home win (1) rises to 54%.
Considering both teams’ offensive tendencies, this will likely be an exciting game with plenty of goals, with more than two total goals expected. The numbers support this: four of Fenerbahce’s last five matches and all of Ferencvaros’ last seven have ended with at least three goals.
Based on these data, BetMines tips a Fenerbahce win and Over 2.5 goals. Potential key players include Akturkoglu for the hosts and Varga for the visitors, who have scored 3 and 2 goals respectively in the competition.
FENERBAHCE (4-1-4-1): Ederson; Muldur, Skriniar, Oosterwolde, Mercan; Yuksek; Nene, Asencio, Fred, Akturkoglu; Duran. Coach: Tedesco
FERENCVAROS (3-5-2): Dibusz; Otvos, Cisse, Szalai; Makreckis, Kanichowski, Toth, Levi, Nagy; Joseph, Pesic. Coach: Keane
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Fenerbahçe
Ferencvárosi
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
5
5
6
4
4.5
8
2
9
1