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Fenerbahçe
5:45 PM
November 4, 2026
Liverpool
Prediction published on Nov 2, 2026 11:33 PM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Nov 2, 2026 11:33 PM
Fenerbahçe host Liverpool at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium in İstanbul on November 4 for a Champions League league-phase meeting between teams with contrasting European records. Fenerbahçe are 31st in the competition rankings and arrive after back-to-back defeats, while third-placed Liverpool have won all three of their Champions League matches. Both sides lost domestically over the weekend, however, and the visitors’ European games have featured goals at both ends. That combination makes this an intriguing test of whether Fenerbahçe’s reliable home scoring can trouble a Liverpool side that has been prolific in the competition.
Fenerbahçe fell 2-1 to Göztepe on October 31 in Dirk Kuyt’s first match as interim manager. They had also lost 2-1 away to Galatasaray, leaving them with one win, one draw and three defeats across their last five matches. Over that five-game span, they have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game. Kuyt therefore faces an immediate challenge against his former club: Fenerbahçe have been finding the net, but their recent results show how costly goals conceded have become.
Their Champions League season statistics stand at four wins, four draws and one defeat, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Among their recent European results are a 2-2 home draw with Slavia Prague and a 6-0 defeat away to Aston Villa. The home figures offer a more encouraging angle for Fenerbahçe: they have scored at least once in each of their last 17 home matches. There has also been a first-half goal in each of their last 12 home games, and a second-half goal in 18 of their last 20 at home. Those are total-goals figures for the matches, rather than goals scored solely by Fenerbahçe.
Team news presents another concern. Mason Greenwood, who has scored seven goals in all competitions and is the club’s second-highest scorer this season, could miss out because of flu. Marco Asensio and Nathan Ake are also set to miss the match. Romelu Lukaku has scored seven of his eight club goals for Fenerbahçe at home, a record that adds to the hosts’ reasons to believe they can contribute to the scoreline even against higher-ranked opposition.
Liverpool travel to İstanbul following a 1-0 home defeat to Arsenal on November 1. Their broader five-match record is stronger than Fenerbahçe’s, with three wins, one draw and one loss, alongside averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The Arsenal result ended a run of victories, but it has not altered Liverpool’s perfect Champions League record this season: three wins from three matches.
Those European wins include a 4-3 result against Villarreal, a 6-3 away victory over LASK and a 2-1 success against Atletico Madrid. Liverpool have averaged 4.0 goals scored per Champions League match, an imposing attacking figure, although their average of 2.3 conceded also points to openings for opponents. They have not drawn any of their last 36 Champions League matches, including their last 19 away games in the competition. That run highlights how rarely their European fixtures have finished level, without removing the possibility of a close contest here.
Alexis Mac Allister and Bradley Barcola have each scored three Champions League goals this season, making them Liverpool’s joint-leading scorers in the competition. Dominik Szoboszlai returned from an injury break against Arsenal, while Alexander Isak has yet to find consistent form. Liverpool have no injury absences listed for this fixture, giving them attacking options as they look to maintain their winning start in Europe.
The rankings and recent results favour Liverpool, but the scoring patterns make a straightforward assessment difficult. Their three Champions League victories have produced 12 goals for and seven against, with both teams scoring in each of the three listed results. Fenerbahçe, meanwhile, have scored in 17 consecutive home matches and drew 2-2 in their recent home meeting with Slavia Prague. Even during a difficult five-match run, their average of 1.4 goals scored suggests they have continued to create problems for opponents.
The central question is whether Fenerbahçe can limit a Liverpool attack averaging four goals per Champions League game while extending their own home scoring streak. Their recent average of 2.4 goals conceded makes that a demanding task. Liverpool’s seven goals conceded across three European matches, though, give the hosts a clear source of encouragement. With neither team arriving off a weekend win, this Champions League preview points less toward a one-sided encounter than toward opportunities at both ends.
Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Fenerbahçe
Liverpool
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
8
2
8
2