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Fenerbahçe
4:45 PM
September 10, 2026
Roma
Prediction published on Sep 8, 2026 5:03 PM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Sep 8, 2026 5:03 PM
Fenerbahçe welcome Roma to Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium on Thursday, September 10, 2026, as Champions League action returns to İstanbul. Kick-off is scheduled for 16:45 local time, with both clubs arriving after productive starts to the campaign. Fenerbahçe completed an unbeaten qualification run to secure their place in the main competition, while Roma have opened their domestic league season with three victories and 10 goals. The Champions League rankings currently place Fenerbahçe 25th and Roma seventh, but the available form figures suggest a competitive fixture. The home side have scored in each of their last 13 matches, including 12 consecutive home appearances, while Roma have found the net in 20 games in a row. With both attacks producing consistently, this opening match has the ingredients for an entertaining contest.
Fenerbahçe reached this stage after an unbeaten Champions League qualification campaign. Their route included victories over Górnik Zabrze, Sturm Graz and Lyon, with respective aggregate results listed as 2-1, 3-0 and 3-2. Across their six Champions League matches this season, the Yellow Canaries have recorded four wins and two draws, averaging 1.3 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per game.
Their wider recent record is also positive, although the latest result brought a setback. Fenerbahçe have collected three wins, one draw and one defeat from their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.0 goals and conceding 1.2. That loss came on September 5, when Beşiktaş won 2-1 at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium. It was Fenerbahçe's first home defeat in any competition since the middle of February, underlining how reliable they had previously been on their own ground.
Goals from the hosts have remained a constant feature despite that defeat. Fenerbahçe have scored at least once in 13 consecutive matches and have also found the net in each of their previous 12 home games. Their record against visitors from Italy provides another encouraging detail, as they have won their last three home matches against Italian opposition.
Mason Greenwood is one of the home players highlighted by the early-season numbers. He has contributed two goals and one assist in 354 minutes, registered five shots on target from 12 attempts and created six chances. However, Matteo Guendouzi must sit out Fenerbahçe's first two Champions League fixtures because of a UEFA ban. Marco Asensio missed the weekend match with a muscle injury and is considered doubtful, while Jayden Oosterwolde is expected to remain unavailable until later in the year because of an Achilles injury.
Roma travel to İstanbul after winning 2-1 against Atalanta on September 5. They have won all three of their domestic league matches this season, scoring 10 goals and conceding only once. Their last-five record across the available results stands at three victories, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 allowed per match.
The visitors' scoring sequence is particularly impressive. Roma have registered at least one goal in their last 20 matches, while each of their previous 11 fixtures has produced more than 1.5 total goals. Second-half action has also been common in their games, with at least one goal after the interval in 26 of the last 28. At half-time, Roma have avoided being behind in 23 of their previous 25 matches and have led at the break in seven of the last 10.
Away from home, Roma have won their last four competitive fixtures across the period before and after the summer break. They also bring a five-match winning sequence against Turkish opposition. Their recent European background includes an eighth-place finish in the previous Europa League phase with 16 points from five wins, one draw and two defeats. Their campaign then ended in the round of 16, where Bologna advanced 5-4 on aggregate. Roma have additionally reached the knockout rounds in seven of their last eight Champions League main-competition appearances.
Donyell Malen has made a prolific start, scoring a hat-trick in the opening game before adding two more goals against Lecce. Paulo Dybala is available to return to Champions League action after an absence of four and a half years, while Nahuel Molina has appeared from the bench in Roma's last two matches. Lorenzo Pellegrini has resumed squad training following a hip injury, although he is considered unlikely to start this fixture.
The statistical picture points toward a closely fought match in which both sides should have opportunities to score. Fenerbahçe's Champions League record of four wins and two draws demonstrates their consistency during qualification, while their streak of scoring in 12 straight home matches makes them difficult to contain at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium. The recent 2-1 defeat to Beşiktaş ended a lengthy unbeaten home sequence, but it did not interrupt their run of finding the net.
Roma arrive with similarly strong attacking evidence. Ten goals from their first three league games, an average of 2.4 across the last five matches and a 20-game scoring streak all reinforce the threat carried by the visitors. Their sequence of 11 matches with at least two total goals also supports the possibility of an open scoreboard. At the same time, Fenerbahçe's average of only 0.5 goals conceded across six Champions League outings shows that Roma may have to work for their chances.
The supplied probabilities give Fenerbahçe a 50% chance of victory, compared with 24% for the draw and 26% for a Roma win. The goals markets are more balanced: over 2.5 goals is rated at 54%, while both teams to score stands at 53%. Given Fenerbahçe's sustained home scoring run and Roma's record of scoring in 20 consecutive matches, the both-teams-to-score option most directly reflects the strongest recurring trend shared by the two clubs.
Fenerbahçe vs Roma prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Fenerbahçe
Roma
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
0
10
2.5
6
4
2
8
3.5
9
1
4
6
4.5
9
1
7
3