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Ferencvárosi
6:15 PM
August 5, 2026
Górnik Zabrze
Prediction published on Aug 4, 2026 12:03 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Aug 4, 2026 12:03 AM
Ferencvárosi host Górnik Zabrze on August 5, 2026, in the first leg of their Europa League third qualifying-round tie. The Hungarian side reached this stage after progressing through four European matches, while the visitors enter the competition after a 2-1 aggregate defeat to Fenerbahçe in Champions League qualifying. Ferencvárosi are unbeaten in Europe this season and have home advantage, but a three-match winless sequence across all competitions means they still have issues to address. Górnik arrive with only one victory from their last five matches and have already lost their opening two away fixtures of the campaign. With a place in the next qualifying round at stake, the first leg provides both teams with an opportunity to establish control of the tie.
Ferencvárosi qualified for the Europa League after finishing second in the Hungarian top flight. They have successfully navigated four matches in this season’s competition, recording three wins and one draw. Their latest European tie ended in a 4-3 aggregate victory over FC Twente, extending their unbeaten continental run at the beginning of the campaign.
Their Europa League numbers underline a productive attacking start. Ferencvárosi have averaged 2.3 goals scored per match while conceding an average of 1.0. Across all competitions, their most recent five-match sequence contains two victories, two draws and one defeat, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. However, the immediate trend is less convincing: a 0-0 draw against Vasas on August 2 left them without a win in three consecutive outings.
The hosts nevertheless have several notable European trends in their favour. At least two total goals have been recorded in each of their last 14 Europa League matches, while Ferencvárosi themselves have scored in each of their previous 13 home games in the competition. They have also won five of their last seven European fixtures, demonstrating their ability to obtain positive results at this level.
Their first-half record is another significant feature. Ferencvárosi have not been behind at the interval in their last 13 matches and have led at half-time in each of their previous four Europa League home fixtures. Looking exclusively at a broader home sample, they have avoided a half-time deficit in 18 of the last 20 matches. These figures suggest that their opening approach has regularly provided a stable foundation, although the goalless result against Vasas shows that converting control into victory cannot be taken for granted.
Górnik Zabrze earned a Champions League qualifying place by finishing second in the Polish league, but their campaign in that competition ended against Fenerbahçe. A 1-0 away defeat in the opening leg proved decisive before Górnik drew the return match 1-1, completing a 2-1 aggregate loss. The Europa League therefore offers them another opportunity to continue their European season.
The visitors have not begun the campaign with consistent results. They are winless in three of their opening four matches, with two defeats during that sequence. Their last five games produced one win, one draw and three losses, alongside averages of 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Those numbers show a clear difference from Ferencvárosi’s recent scoring output, particularly in European competition.
Górnik can at least draw encouragement from being unbeaten in their two most recent fixtures. Their latest appearance was the 1-1 draw with Fenerbahçe on July 29, a result that ended their Champions League qualifying campaign but also extended their short run without defeat. Maintaining that resistance away from home will be important after losing their first two road matches of the season.
Like their opponents, Górnik have often remained competitive through the opening half. They have not trailed at the interval in 19 of their last 21 matches. However, their away results and limited scoring average present a demanding challenge in this first leg. Three of their last 10 away matches finished without a goal from either side, illustrating that their road fixtures have occasionally developed into tightly restricted contests.
The contrast between the teams is clearest in their recent European records. Ferencvárosi have collected three wins and a draw from four Europa League matches this season, scoring an average of 2.3 goals per game. Górnik Zabrze, meanwhile, enter after elimination from Champions League qualifying and have averaged only 0.8 goals across their latest five matches in all competitions.
Ferencvárosi’s home scoring sequence could be central to the first leg. They have found the net in 13 consecutive Europa League home matches and have been ahead at the break in their last four home appearances in the tournament. At the same time, their current three-game winless run means that strong historical sequences alone will not settle the contest. The hosts must improve on the lack of cutting edge displayed in the 0-0 draw with Vasas.
For Górnik, the priority is to avoid allowing the away leg to move beyond their control. Their record of not trailing at half-time in 19 of 21 matches indicates that they have frequently stayed level or ahead during the early stages. Yet back-to-back away defeats at the start of the season and three losses across their last five fixtures highlight the difficulty of this assignment.
The available statistics point to a first leg shaped by Ferencvárosi’s stronger European form and reliable home scoring record, balanced against the first-half resilience both teams have displayed. The hosts will seek to turn their continental momentum into an advantage, while Górnik need a more productive attacking performance than their recent average if they are to improve on their previous European away result.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Ferencvárosi
Górnik Zabrze
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1