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Prediction published on Nov 4, 2025 9:05 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Nov 4, 2025 9:18 PM
Matchday 4 of the UEFA Europa League brings an intriguing clash between Ferencvárosi Budapest and Ludogorets Razgrad at the Groupama Arena on Thursday night. The Hungarian champions have been one of the standout performers in the competition so far, sitting seventh in the League Phase standings, while the Bulgarian side find themselves down in 26th place. With both teams eager to strengthen their position in the group, this encounter promises plenty of attacking football and high intensity.
Ferencvárosi have made a strong impression in this season’s Europa League, remaining unbeaten after three matches. Their thrilling 3-2 away victory over Salzburg showcased their attacking prowess, as they scored three goals in just eight minutes to overturn the deficit. The Green and Whites have also been prolific in recent weeks, netting four goals in each of their last two games across all competitions. Domestically, they continued their fine form with a convincing 4-1 win over MTK on November 1, underlining their offensive consistency.
In their last five matches, Ferencvárosi have recorded three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their home record is particularly impressive: they have scored at least one goal in each of their last 20 home matches, with Over 1.5 total goals in all of them. Moreover, Over 0.5 goals at half-time has been recorded in each of their last 20 home fixtures, reflecting their ability to start games strongly. The Hungarian side’s attacking rhythm rarely falters, with Over 1.5 goals in 33 of their last 35 matches overall.
Ferencvárosi’s confidence will also be boosted by their recent head-to-head record against Ludogorets. The two teams met earlier this season in the Champions League qualifiers, where the Hungarians triumphed 3-0 on aggregate. That result, combined with their current form, makes them clear favorites heading into this Europa League encounter.
Ludogorets began their Europa League campaign with a promising 2-1 win over Malmö but have since struggled, suffering consecutive defeats to Real Betis (2-0) and Young Boys (3-2). The Bulgarian champions are now desperate to avoid a third straight loss in the competition. Their recent domestic form has also been underwhelming, as they were held to a 0-0 draw against Cherno More on November 2, extending a poor run of just one win in their last seven matches in all competitions.
Defensively, Ludogorets have shown vulnerabilities, conceding two or more goals in three of their last four outings. Away from home, their record is far from convincing, with only two wins in their last ten away games (four draws and four defeats). They have also struggled to keep clean sheets, and their attacking output has been inconsistent despite averaging 2.0 goals scored per match in their last five fixtures. In European competition, Ludogorets have seen Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 24 of their last 26 Europa League matches, suggesting that their games often open up after the break.
Set-piece defending and concentration lapses have been recurring issues for the Bulgarian side, and they will need to tighten up considerably if they are to contain Ferencvárosi’s dynamic front line. Their last visit to Budapest ended in a heavy defeat, and given their current form, a repeat scenario cannot be ruled out.
This fixture pits one of the Europa League’s most in-form attacking sides against a team struggling for consistency. Ferencvárosi’s attacking trio has been in scintillating form, combining pace, creativity, and clinical finishing. Their ability to score early and maintain pressure throughout the match makes them particularly dangerous at home. The Hungarian champions’ fluid attacking transitions and set-piece efficiency have been key to their recent success.
Ludogorets, on the other hand, will likely adopt a more cautious approach, focusing on defensive organization and counterattacks. However, their recent defensive record suggests they may find it difficult to withstand sustained pressure from the hosts. The visitors’ best hope lies in exploiting spaces on the break, but given Ferencvárosi’s current momentum, that may not be enough to secure a positive result.
Historically, matches between these two sides have been competitive, but Ferencvárosi’s recent dominance and home advantage tilt the balance in their favor. The Hungarian side’s consistency in front of goal, combined with Ludogorets’ defensive frailties, points toward another high-scoring performance from the hosts.
Ferencvárosi Budapest vs Ludogorets prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a Ferencvárosi Budapest win (1) with a 52% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 25%, while a Ludogorets win (2) stands at 23%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Ferencvárosi
Ludogorets
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
2
8
7
3
2.5
5
5
8
2
3.5
6
4
10
0
4.5
9
1
10
0