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Prediction published on Mar 21, 2026 12:23 AM by Dario in Netherlands - Eredivisie | Modified on Mar 21, 2026 12:23 AM
The second Klassieker of the Eredivisie season is set to take place on March 22 at De Kuip, where Feyenoord will host Ajax in what promises to be one of the most intense fixtures of the campaign. This rivalry, steeped in history and emotion, always delivers drama, passion, and high-quality football. Both teams enter this clash with strong motivations — Feyenoord looking to maintain their momentum at home, and Ajax eager to prove their attacking power once again.
Feyenoord approach this match after a 2-1 victory over Excelsior on March 15, a result that restored confidence following a 3-3 draw at NAC Breda and a 2-0 defeat at Twente. Their season has been marked by moments of brilliance mixed with inconsistency, but the energy of a Klassieker at De Kuip often brings out their best performance. Currently ranked 2nd in the Eredivisie, Feyenoord’s record of 16 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats reflects a strong campaign overall.
In their last five matches, Feyenoord have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their attacking rhythm remains reliable, with at least one goal scored in each of their last 15 home matches. The Rotterdam side have also been involved in high-scoring encounters, with Over 1.5 goals recorded in 26 of their last 28 matches and Over 0.5 goals at half time in 20 of their last 21 games.
Despite their attacking consistency, Feyenoord have shown some vulnerability early in matches, having lost at half time in their last three Eredivisie fixtures. However, De Kuip continues to be a fortress — they have not drawn in 20 of their last 21 home games, often pushing for victory from the first whistle. The home crowd’s influence and the emotional charge of this rivalry could once again play a decisive role.
Ajax travel to Rotterdam after a dominant 4-0 win over Sparta Rotterdam on March 14, a result that showcased their attacking efficiency and renewed confidence. Ranked 4th in the Eredivisie, Ajax’s season record stands at 12 wins, 11 draws, and 4 defeats, with an average of 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. Their recent form — 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat in the last five games — suggests a team regaining stability after a mixed run earlier in the season.
Ajax’s attacking consistency is remarkable: Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 39 of their last 40 matches, and they have found the net in 27 of their last 29 Eredivisie fixtures. However, their defense remains a concern, with at least one goal conceded in 19 of their last 20 away games. This pattern indicates that while Ajax are potent going forward, they often leave spaces at the back that opponents can exploit.
Another key trend is Ajax’s strong first-half performance — they have not lost at half time in their last 14 Eredivisie matches and have led at the break in 9 of their last 12. This early dominance could be crucial in a high-pressure environment like De Kuip, where silencing the home crowd early can shift momentum.
The Klassieker is always more than just a football match — it’s a battle of pride, identity, and momentum. Feyenoord will rely heavily on their home advantage and the electric atmosphere of De Kuip, where they have been nearly unstoppable in recent months. Their attacking line is expected to press high from the start, aiming to seize control early and capitalize on Ajax’s defensive gaps.
Ajax, on the other hand, will look to balance their offensive flair with tactical discipline. Their ability to transition quickly could be key, especially if Feyenoord commit numbers forward. The visitors’ recent 4-0 win has boosted morale, and their attacking depth gives them the tools to challenge any defense in the league. However, their away defensive record suggests that keeping a clean sheet in Rotterdam will be a major challenge.
Historically, this rivalry has produced unpredictable outcomes, and the last head-to-head ended 2-0 in December 2025. Feyenoord have won two of the last five meetings, while Ajax have claimed three, with an average of 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match between them. Given both sides’ attacking trends, another high-scoring encounter seems likely.
Based on the statistical trends and probabilities, this fixture points strongly toward a goal-rich contest. Both teams have shown consistent attacking output and defensive vulnerabilities, making an open game highly probable. According to the BetMines model, the most likely outcome is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% probability. The data also supports a high chance of Both Teams To Score – Yes (62%), but the Over 2.5 market remains the standout prediction.
Feyenoord vs Ajax prediction by BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 66% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Feyenoord
Ajax
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
1
9
1
9
3.5
3
7
2
8
4.5
8
2
7
3