Predictions
Top Leagues
Feb 11, 2025
At Feyenoord Stadium in Rotterdam, Feyenoord hosts Milan in the first leg of the Champions League playoffs, which will determine qualification for the Round of 16 over two legs. This match holds special significance for the home side, as Feyenoord has not reached the knockout stage of the Champions League since the 1984/1985 season when it was still called the European Cup. One thing that Feyenoord and Milan have in common this season is that both clubs have sacked their respective managers. The Dutch side dismissed coach Brian Priske just days before this crucial tie, despite securing an impressive 3-0 win over Sparta Rotterdam in their last Eredivisie match. However, previous poor results have left Feyenoord in fifth place in the league, far behind rivals PSV and Ajax. Milan, on the other hand, parted ways with Paulo Fonseca in December, replacing him with former Porto coach Sergio Conceição. The Portuguese manager made an immediate impact, winning the UEFA Super Cup shortly after his appointment, but needed a few matches and key signings to fully implement his tactical vision. Now, Milan appears to have found consistency, thanks in part to their January transfer window acquisitions. One of the most impactful signings has been Santi Gimenez, who arrived from Feyenoord and will now face his former teammates in this highly anticipated clash. This promises to be an exciting match, full of goal-scoring opportunities.
As evidenced by the dismissal of Priske (who is expected to be replaced by Pascal Bosschaart for the Milan match), Feyenoord has been underwhelming compared to preseason expectations. Their Eredivisie standing speaks volumes: they sit in fifth place, trailing Ajax and PSV by 12 points. Their recent victory over Sparta Rotterdam provided some relief, breaking a three-match losing streak across all competitions.
Feyenoord's Champions League campaign ended with a crushing 6-1 defeat against Lille, but they also produced some surprising results, including a 3-0 win over Bayern Munich and a thrilling 3-3 draw with Manchester City. In the Champions League, Feyenoord has scored an average of 2.25 goals per game while conceding 2.63.
Milan concluded the Champions League group stage with a shocking 2-1 defeat away to Dinamo Zagreb. However, since that loss, they have remained unbeaten, securing two wins and a draw across Serie A and Coppa Italia.
Sergio Conceição has benefited from the club's winter signings, particularly Joao Felix and Santi Gimenez, who have elevated the Rossoneri's attacking prowess. While the Mexican striker has yet to make an impact in the Champions League, Christian Pulisic has stood out in the group stage with four goals and two assists. So far, Milan has not drawn a single match in this competition, scoring an average of 1.75 goals per game while conceding 1.38.
Milan has little incentive to dictate the tempo of this match, as they have the advantage of a second leg at home to secure their spot in the Round of 16. This could be concerning for the Rossoneri, who have failed to win any of their last 11 away knockout stage matches in the Champions League. Feyenoord, on the other hand, has a solid home record against Italian teams, with 6 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses.
True to Dutch football tradition, Feyenoord favors an attacking and proactive playing style, which allows them to score consistently but also makes them vulnerable to Milan's counterattacks and quick vertical transitions.
According to BetMines' algorithm, the prediction for Feyenoord vs Milan suggests a high likelihood that both teams will score.
FEYENOORD (4-2-3-1): Bijlow; Read, Trauner, Hancko, Smal; Beelen, Timber; Osman, Milambo, Igor Piaxão; Ueda. Coach: Bosschaart.
MILAN (4-3-3): Maignan; Walker, Tomori, Pavlovic, Theo Hernandez; Musah, Fofana, Reijnders; Pulisic, Gimenez, Leao. Coach: Conceição.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Feyenoord
Milan
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
10
0
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1