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Prediction published on Oct 21, 2025 4:28 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Oct 23, 2025 7:54 AM
On Thursday, October 23, at the legendary De Kuip in Rotterdam, the third-round Europa League clash between Feyenoord and Panathinaikos takes center stage — two clubs well accustomed to European football, both eager to earn crucial points to improve their positions in the group standings. After the first two rounds of the UEL, the situation is especially dire for the home side, still stuck at zero points and desperately looking for their first win of the European campaign. The Dutch champions, currently leading the Eredivisie, cannot afford a third consecutive defeat, which would make it much harder to even aim for the minimum target — finishing fourth in the group and reaching the knockout phase. The Greek side, on the other hand, has collected three points so far but must stay focused if they want to avoid being caught by the Dutch team in the standings. A win, however, would significantly boost their position, keeping them in contention for the second spot that grants direct access to the Round of 16. Everything is set for an intense and thrilling match.
Feyenoord are currently in great domestic form, coming off two consecutive league victories, including an emphatic 0–7 win away against Heracles Almelo. With those three points, Van Persie’s men maintained the top spot in the Eredivisie with 25 points from the first nine rounds, built on 8 wins and 1 draw.
However, the Dutch side’s last five matches across all competitions have been mixed: 3 wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per match. Both of their defeats have come in the Europa League — a clear sign of a team performing at two different speeds: dominant domestically but struggling on the European stage.
The Rotterdam side must now change pace in the Europa League, having earned zero points so far after defeats against Braga (1–0) and Aston Villa (2–0). The home advantage at De Kuip could play a major role, as Feyenoord have remained unbeaten in five of their last six matches played in the iconic stadium.
It’s also a delicate moment for Panathinaikos, who were held to a 1–1 draw by Aris in their last Super League match. The start of the Greek season hasn’t been impressive so far — after six rounds, they sit seventh in the table, eight points behind leaders PAOK.
That said, their overall record in the last five matches across all competitions is quite solid: 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game. The Greens have shown attacking consistency but have conceded at least one goal in five of their last six games.
Panathinaikos have earned 3 points so far in the Europa League group stage, coming from a 1–4 away win over Young Boys and a 1–2 loss against Dutch side Go Ahead Eagles. Away from home, they are unbeaten in three straight matches (2 wins and 1 draw), averaging 2.33 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.
BetMines considers Feyenoord the clear favorites to win this match, driven by their home support and the urgent need to secure a victory that would bring them back into contention for qualification to the next phase.
According to the algorithm, the home win (1) has a 50% probability, the draw (X) 23%, and the away win (2) 27%. The deciding factors could be the home-field advantage and Feyenoord’s stronger motivation to bounce back.
Another key factor is Panathinaikos’s injury list: coach Kontis will have to do without two important players, Renato Sanches and Cyriel Dessers, both with extensive European experience.
In terms of scoring, BetMines expects an open and lively match, with at least three total goals and both teams finding the net. The outcomes “Over 2.5 goals” and “Both teams to score” are each given a 54% probability.
FEYENOORD (5-3-2): Wellenreuther; Bos, Ahmedhodzic, Smal, Watanabe, Read; Valente, Targhalline, Steijn; Sauer, Hadj Moussa. Coach: Van Persie
PANATHINAIKOS (4-2-3-1): Lafont; Calabria, Ingason, Kyriakopolous, Touba; Chirivella, Gnezda Cerin; Tete, Bakasetas, Zaroury; Swiderski. Coach: Kontis
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Feyenoord
Panathinaikos
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
3
7
1.5
2
8
5
5
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1