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Prediction published on Mar 30, 2025 2:07 AM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Mar 30, 2025 2:37 AM
Atalanta's defeat against Inter in the last round of the championship before the break, combined with Fiorentina's success against Juventus, brings the Nerazzurri and Viola, although very far away in the standings and about to face each other at the Franchi, to fight, in fact, for the same objective: qualification for the next Champions League. For Fiorentina, in fact, a small glimmer of hope has opened up while for the Goddess, mainly, that Scudetto seems to have ended. Distanced by ten points in the standings, therefore, the two teams will have the same goal, at least before the start of the match, with the awareness that third-placed Atalanta has a great chance of finishing in the top four while eighth-placed Fiorentina has little, also because their opponents have immediately started marching victorious again. It remains, however, a highly competitive, adrenaline-filled match, often a spectacular result over the years: in fact, we remember the 3-2 for Fiorentina two years ago and the 2-3 for Atalanta in 2021, but even the first leg match, played in Bergamo, was no exception and was yet another 3-2, where Atalanta, with three goals from each of its three attacking players (Retegui, De Ketelaere and Lookman) managed to get the upper hand.
The two victories against Panathinaikos and Juventus have brought back serenity because they meant passage to the next round in the Conference League and new impetus towards the race for European places.
Currently, in the championship, Fiorentina is eighth, by virtue of 14 wins, 6 draws and 9 defeats.
At home, Viola has won 4 of the last 5 games played so it has an excellent feeling with its stadium where, in fact, it has defeated Milan, Juventus and Inter.
Atalanta, the best of this season, in the championship, is giving it away. It is difficult to understand the reasons but, by now, it seems a fact. No one has done better than the Nerazzurri away from home so far: 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats are an exceptional haul, just as the partial of the last three away games of the Goddess is incredible, which have led to 14 goals scored and 0 conceded.
Currently, Atalanta is third in the league, 6 points behind leaders Inter, and has lost only 2 of the last 24 matches played in the league.
In the last 5 league games played, the Goddess has won 2 times, drawn 2 times and lost 1.
If the first leg match can be indicative, then it will be a crackling and uncertain match and, in reality, there are the premises for the ninety minutes of Sunday to be like that. Atalanta tends to make better use of space away from home and manage matches more easily, but Fiorentina, at home, can be a tough opponent, especially if they play with aggression and physicality. It would also be the challenge of the two Azzurri strikers, the top two scorers in the championship, but if Moise Kean is sure to take the field, for Mateo Retegui, the call-up has already been a surprise. The possibility that seems highest, however, is that of seeing both teams score and so indicates the prediction of the BetMines Algorithm.
Fiorentina (3-5-2): De Gea; Pongracic, Marì, Ranieri; Dodò, Mandragora, Cataldi, Fagioli, Gosens; Gudmundsson, Kean. Coach: Palladino.
Atalanta (3-4-2-1): Carnesecchi; Djimsiti, Hien, Kolasinac; Bellanova, Pasalic, De Roon, Zappacosta; De Ketelaere, Samardzic, Lookman. Coach: Gasperini.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
4
6
4
6
2.5
7
3
6
4
3.5
9
1
7
3
4.5
10
0
7
3