The Coppa Italia round of 16 concludes with an intriguing clash between Fiorentina and Como at the Artemio Franchi Stadium. The winner of this encounter will face Napoli in the quarter-finals, adding extra motivation for both sides. For Fiorentina, this is their first appearance in the competition this season, while Como have already eliminated Sassuolo in the previous round. The two teams arrive in contrasting moods: Fiorentina are struggling to find consistency, whereas Como are enjoying one of their best spells of the campaign.

Fiorentina’s Recent Form and Key Stats

It has been a turbulent period for Fiorentina, who come into this match after a 1-2 defeat against Cagliari on January 24, 2026. The team’s recent record shows 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Despite flashes of quality, the Viola have struggled to maintain control in key moments, particularly at home, where they have lost at half time in 7 of their last 11 fixtures.

In the Coppa Italia, Fiorentina’s matches have often been tight affairs, with Under 0.5 goals recorded in 2 of their last 10 home games in the competition. Their defensive structure remains solid, but the lack of cutting edge in attack has been a recurring issue. The team’s ranking in the Coppa Italia currently stands at 1, reflecting their historical pedigree in the tournament, having lifted the trophy six times. However, the pressure is mounting after recent setbacks, and the home crowd will expect a strong reaction.

• Fiorentina have scored in the second half in each of their last 12 matches.


• They have lost at half time in 7 of their last 11 home games.


• Under 0.5 goals have been recorded in 2 of their last 10 Coppa Italia matches.

With a challenging Conference League playoff looming, Fiorentina must balance their ambitions carefully. The squad’s depth will be tested, and the absence of key attacking options could influence their approach against an in-form Como side.

Como’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Como arrive in Florence full of confidence after a stunning 6-0 victory over Torino on January 24, 2026 — their biggest ever win in Serie A. That result underlined their attacking prowess and collective momentum. Over their last five matches, Como have registered 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat, averaging an impressive 2.8 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per game. In the Coppa Italia, they have been equally dominant, winning both of their matches so far with an average of 3 goals scored and just 0.5 conceded.

Under the guidance of their coach, Como have developed a disciplined yet dynamic style of play. They have not lost at half time in 36 of their last 39 matches, showing remarkable consistency and focus. Their defensive organization has been key, with at least one team failing to score in the second half in 31 of their last 32 matches. These numbers highlight a side that knows how to manage games effectively, even away from home.

• Como have scored 9 goals and conceded none in their last two league matches.


• They have won both of their Coppa Italia fixtures this season.


• Under 0.5 goals have been recorded in 3 of their last 15 matches overall.

Como’s ranking in the Coppa Italia is 2, and their recent performances suggest they are ready to challenge for silverware. Having already beaten Fiorentina 2-1 in their last head-to-head meeting on September 21, 2025, they will be confident of repeating that success. Their record against Fiorentina stands at 2 wins and 1 loss in the last three encounters, with an average of 1.3 goals scored per game.

Fiorentina vs Como Prediction and Tactical Overview

This Coppa Italia tie promises to be a fascinating battle between Fiorentina’s experience and Como’s momentum. The home side will look to reassert their authority after a difficult run, while the visitors aim to continue their dream season. Fiorentina’s attacking struggles could play into Como’s hands, especially given the visitors’ ability to strike quickly and control the tempo once ahead.

Historically, Fiorentina have been strong in this competition, but Como’s recent form and confidence make them a dangerous opponent. The visitors’ attacking trio has been in fine form, and their defensive resilience could frustrate a Fiorentina side under pressure. Expect a match where both teams create chances, but Como’s efficiency in front of goal might prove decisive.

According to the latest data, the win probabilities stand at Fiorentina 39%, Draw 27%, and Como 34%. The Both Teams To Score – Yes option is rated at 54%, while the Over 2.5 goals market also shows a 54% likelihood, suggesting an open and entertaining contest.

Probable Lineups Fiorentina vs Como

FIORENTINA (4-3-2-1): De Gea; Dodo, Pongracic, Ranieri, Fortini; Brescianini, Fagioli, Ndour; Solomon, Piccoli; Gudmundsson.
COMO (4-2-3-1): Butez; Smolcic, Ramon, Kempf, Moreno; Caqueret, Perrone; Rodriguez, Paz, Kuhn; Douvikas.

Fiorentina vs Como prediction by BetMines:
Como win (2) with 34% probability.