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Fiorentina
2 - 1
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Dynamo Kyiv
Prediction published on Dec 9, 2025 6:16 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Dec 9, 2025 6:16 PM
Fiorentina and Dynamo Kyiv meet in Florence for matchday five of the 2025–26 UEFA Conference League, with both sides desperate to revive their campaigns. The Italian side sit 17th in the overall standings, while the Ukrainian visitors are down in 27th place. With both teams struggling for consistency, this clash at the Stadio Artemio Franchi could prove decisive in their hopes of reaching the knockout stages.
Fiorentina enter this fixture in poor form, having lost 3–1 away to Sassuolo in Serie A last weekend. That result extended their winless streak to nine matches across all competitions, including three consecutive defeats. Despite a promising start to their Conference League campaign with four wins from six matches (W4, D0, L2), the Viola have recently faltered, losing to AEK Athens and Mainz in successive European outings.
In the group stage, Fiorentina have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, showing their attacking potential when in rhythm. However, their domestic struggles have mirrored their European dip, with the team failing to find balance between defense and attack. The statistics underline their inconsistency: they have lost at half time in their last five home matches and in four consecutive games overall. Yet, they remain a dangerous side in Florence, having scored in 19 of their last 20 Conference League fixtures.
Goals are a common feature in Fiorentina’s European matches. Over 1.5 total goals have been recorded in 19 of their last 20 Conference League games, while over 0.5 goals have been scored before half time in each of their last 13 home fixtures. These trends suggest that the Viola’s matches rarely lack entertainment, even if results have not gone their way recently.
Dynamo Kyiv arrive in Italy after a morale-boosting 2–1 away win over Kudrivka in domestic competition, ending a four-game losing streak. Their Conference League campaign, however, has been inconsistent. The Ukrainians have managed just one win in four matches (W1, D0, L3), scoring an average of 1.5 goals but conceding 1.8 per game. Their only bright moment came in a 6–0 demolition of Zrinjski on matchday three, but defeats to Omonia and others have left them outside the top 24 places needed for progression.
Defensively, Dynamo have been fragile, conceding in each of their last 13 away matches. Their away record in Europe is particularly concerning, with four defeats in their last five trips. Nonetheless, their attacking play remains lively, as over 1.5 goals have been scored in all of those 13 away games. They also tend to start matches with intensity, with over 0.5 goals scored before half time in 21 of their last 23 fixtures.
Coach Oleksandr Shovkovskyi will hope his side can build on their recent domestic win to challenge Fiorentina. The Ukrainians’ main task will be to tighten their defense while maintaining their attacking threat, especially through quick transitions and set pieces. However, their tendency to concede late could again prove costly against a Fiorentina side eager to end their slump.
This encounter brings together two teams that have struggled to find consistency but are capable of producing goals. Fiorentina’s attacking numbers in Europe remain strong despite their poor domestic form, while Dynamo’s defensive issues make them vulnerable but also contribute to open, high-scoring matches. Both sides have shown a pattern of conceding and scoring in the same game, suggesting that this fixture could follow a similar path.
The Italians will look to dominate possession and exploit the flanks, while Dynamo may rely on counterattacks and quick forward play. Fiorentina’s home advantage could be crucial, but their recent defensive lapses leave room for the visitors to find the net. Historically, the Viola have had the upper hand, winning both previous meetings without conceding, yet current form points toward a more balanced contest this time around.
Given the attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides, fans can expect an open match with opportunities at both ends. Fiorentina’s need for a response and Dynamo’s renewed confidence after their recent win should make for an entertaining clash in Florence.
Fiorentina vs Dynamo Kyiv prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 51% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Fiorentina
Dynamo Kyiv
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
8
2
8
2