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Prediction published on Nov 6, 2026 8:03 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Nov 6, 2026 8:03 PM
Fiorentina host Juventus in Serie A on November 8, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 19:45 local time at Stadio Artemio Franchi in Firenze. The home side arrive after a 4-2 win at Sassuolo, a welcome result following a difficult start to the campaign. Juventus also won their most recent match, beating AZ Alkmaar 2-1 away on November 5, but have had less time to prepare. With Fiorentina 16th and Juventus seventh after ten league games, both teams have reason to treat this fixture as an opportunity to build on their latest victories.
Fiorentina have won two, drawn two and lost six of their first ten Serie A matches. Their victory over Sassuolo interrupted a difficult run: across their last five fixtures, they have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats. That five-match spell has produced an average of 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game, illustrating why a four-goal attacking display was encouraging without removing the concerns at the other end.
Vanoli's side have scored 15 league goals but conceded 23, equivalent to averages of 1.5 scored and 2.3 allowed per Serie A match. Fiorentina have taken only two points from their first five home league games, so playing at the Franchi has not yet delivered the results they need. They have also been behind at half-time in each of their last three Serie A home fixtures and in six of their last ten league matches overall. A better start would help them avoid another game spent trying to recover.
There were positive individual signs against Sassuolo. Pellegrino impressed, while Njie has contributed two goals and two assists across his last two appearances. Vanoli will nevertheless be without Parisi, Ranieri, Pongracic and Atta for this match. Fiorentina's longer-running goal trends are notable: each of their last 14 matches has featured more than 1.5 total goals, and each has had at least one goal after half-time. Those figures describe the matches as a whole, not goals scored by Fiorentina alone.
Juventus approach the trip with three wins, one draw and one defeat from their last five matches. They have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over that period. Their Serie A record stands at five wins, two draws and three losses, with season averages of 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Those numbers point to a stronger defensive record than Fiorentina's, although Juventus have been less convincing in the league than their recent run across all fixtures might suggest.
After a 2-0 defeat to Genoa, Juventus responded by beating Napoli through goals from Kerim Alajbegovic and Jeremie Boga. They then won at AZ Alkmaar on Thursday, with Koopmeiners and Kolo Muani scoring before Meerdink pulled a goal back late on. That European trip provides a short turnaround before Sunday's Serie A fixture, and Spalletti must also assess a lengthy list of absences.
Locatelli, Thuram, Nico Gonzalez, Conceiçao, Yildiz and Grabara are listed as unavailable, while Celik is in doubt. McKennie missed the AZ match after experiencing an adductor problem against Napoli, although he could return to the group for Fiorentina. Juventus have struggled to settle their attacking output in the league: Kolo Muani and Woltemade have scored one Serie A goal between them, with Woltemade yet to score in the competition. Even so, Juventus's last 13 matches have all contained more than 1.5 total goals.
This fixture brings together a Fiorentina side seeking to turn one emphatic win into sustained improvement and a Juventus team trying to carry its recent momentum into Serie A. Fiorentina's four goals against Sassuolo and Njie's recent contributions offer reasons for optimism, but their 23 goals conceded in ten league games remain a substantial concern. Juventus have the better recent results and the lower goals-against average, though their midweek journey and player availability could complicate the assignment.
The recent head-to-head picture is more balanced than the league positions alone suggest. Fiorentina's record across the supplied meetings with Juventus is two wins, two draws and one defeat, while the latest meeting finished 0-2. Fiorentina will look to make their renewed attacking confidence count at home; Juventus will aim to make the most of their stronger recent form. Given the hosts' limited home return so far and the visitors' three wins in five matches, Juventus appear better placed to avoid defeat, even if Fiorentina's recent win makes this a difficult contest to dismiss as straightforward.
Fiorentina vs Juventus prediction from BetMines: Draw or Juventus (X2) with 74% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Fiorentina
Juventus
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
1
9
2.5
1
9
6
4
3.5
5
5
9
1
4.5
7
3
10
0