Fiorentina vs Lecce Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Serie A

The 27th round of Serie A kicks off with the Friday night fixture at the Artemio Franchi Stadium, featuring two struggling teams: Fiorentina and Lecce. The home side, coming off three consecutive defeats (against Inter, Como, and Hellas Verona), desperately needs a victory to solidify their fifth-place standing, close the gap on sixth-placed Lazio, and stay ahead of Milan, Bologna, and Roma. Fiorentina dominated the reverse fixture in Salento with a crushing 6-0 victory, but they will be without their top scorer Moise Kean, the Serie A's second-top scorer with 15 goals, due to a concussion sustained in the loss to Verona. Coach Palladino, whose job could be on the line, must find an alternative solution and get the best out of new signings Zaniolo and Fagioli, who have yet to make a real impact. Meanwhile, Lecce, under Marco Giampaolo, is coming off a disappointing 1-0 home defeat to Udinese, which ended a three-match unbeaten run (two draws and one win). Despite maintaining a four-point cushion above the relegation zone, Lecce must start picking up points again to avoid trouble in the upcoming fixtures. Exploiting Fiorentina’s poor form will be key, but the home side’s greater motivation might tilt the game in their favor over 90 minutes.

Fiorentina's Shape & Key Statistics

Fiorentina’s inconsistent season has taken a downturn recently. After three straight wins between January 26 and February 6, they have suffered three consecutive defeats. The 6-0 thrashing of Lecce in the reverse fixture now feels like a distant memory, especially as Fiorentina has failed to score in their last two matches, with their only recent goal coming from a penalty against Inter in Matchday 24.

In their last five Serie A home matches, Palladino’s men have registered two wins, two draws, and one loss, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per match. One major concern is their struggles against relegation-threatened teams, as they have dropped 13 points against Monza, Verona, Empoli, Como, Parma, and Venezia so far this season.

Lecce's Shape & Key Statistics

Lecce’s Matchday 26 defeat against Udinese highlighted their attacking deficiencies, as they managed just one shot on target throughout the match.

Notably, Lecce has the worst attack in Serie A, with only 18 goals scored all season. They have also failed to find the net in their last three consecutive matches. However, on the positive side, Lecce has won two of their last four away matches (with one draw and one loss), which gives them some hope against Fiorentina.

Fiorentina vs Lecce Prediction & Tactical Overview

Fiorentina enters this match with the obligation to win to stay in the European race. Their higher league ambitions, combined with the need to bounce back from three straight defeats, could be crucial in securing a victory.

Despite Fiorentina’s struggles against lower-ranked teams and the absence of Moise Kean, they are still expected to prevail over a Lecce side that struggles to create offensive opportunities.

According to BetMines' algorithmic prediction, Fiorentina is favored to win. 

• The BetMines algorithm prediction for the Fiorentina vs Lecce match predicts the 1 sign at 56%
• The BetMines algorithm prediction for the Fiorentina vs Lecce match predicts the X sign at 24%
• The BetMines algorithm prediction for the Fiorentina vs Lecce match predicts the 2 sign at 20%

Fiorentina vs Lecce Predicted Lineups

Fiorentina (4-2-3-1): De Gea; Dodo, Comuzzo, Ranieri, Gosens; Cataldi, Mandragora; Zaniolo, Fagioli, Folorunsho; Beltran. Coach: Palladino 

Lecce (4-3-3): Falcone; Guilbert, Baschirotto, Jean, Gallo; Coulibaly, Pierret, Rafia; Pierotti, Krstovic, Morente. Coach: Giampaolo