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Fiorentina
2 - 2
AET
Real Betis
Prediction published on May 5, 2025 5:00 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on May 7, 2025 11:02 AM
Fiorentina, hosting Real Betis, will be fighting for the chance to reach their third consecutive UEFA Europa Conference League final, hoping for a different outcome this time after losing the previous two against West Ham and Olympiacos. However, the task for the Italian side is far from easy, as they enter the second leg trailing 2-1 from the first match in Seville, where the Spanish club claimed a home win at the Benito Villamarín Stadium. This means Palladino’s squad must win by at least two goals at the Stadio Artemio Franchi to qualify for the final without needing extra time or a penalty shootout. Fiorentina's 1-0 defeat away to AS Roma in their last Serie A fixture highlighted how much importance is being placed on this Conference League clash—despite facing a direct rival for European qualification, several starters were rested in anticipation of this decisive match. Real Betis, on the other hand, arrive in Florence with two out of three results in their favor. In addition to aiming for a historic first international trophy, the Andalusian side are still in the race for a Champions League spot through La Liga, making this encounter pivotal in defining the success of their season. The first leg between these two teams was an intense and entertaining affair, especially in the second half, with constant shifts in momentum. All signs point to a similarly exciting match at the Franchi, promising high drama and quality football.
Fiorentina’s 1-0 loss away to AS Roma in their most recent Serie A fixture, despite a solid performance, cost them ground in the race for a European spot. The Viola now sit four points behind sixth place. Over their last five matches in all competitions, they’ve recorded two wins, two losses, and one draw, scoring and conceding at an identical rate of 1.4 goals per match.
In the UEFA Europa Conference League, Raffaele Palladino’s side has been outstanding at home, going unbeaten with four wins and one draw. At the Stadio Artemio Franchi, Fiorentina boast an average of 3.4 goals scored per game. After the group stage, they beat Panathinaikos 3-1 in the Round of 16 and drew 2-2 with Celje in the quarter-finals. Notably, the Viola are unbeaten in their last 13 home matches in the Conference League.
Manuel Pellegrini’s squad is enjoying a great run of form, coming into this match on the back of four consecutive wins, the most recent being a 1-2 victory away to Espanyol. In their last five games, they’ve averaged 2.6 goals scored and just 1 conceded per match, staying firmly in contention for a Champions League spot with only one point separating them from fifth-placed Villarreal in La Liga.
Real Betis struggled early in the competition, finishing the first phase with only 10 points in 15th place overall. Away from home, they have registered 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, averaging 1.66 goals scored and 0.66 conceded per match. In the knockout rounds, they’ve yet to lose on the road: winning 0-3 vs Gent, 0-4 vs Vitoria, and drawing 1-1 against Jagiellonia.
At home in the Conference League, Fiorentina average over three goals per game, but their defensive vulnerabilities have also been evident—as seen in their 2-2 draw against Celje in the quarter-finals, a side far less threatening than Real Betis.
In the first leg in Seville, the Viola struggled to contain Pellegrini’s system, which heavily relies on switching play to the flanks, especially towards Antony, and the creative freedom given to Isco, who roams the entire final third orchestrating attacks. This suggests that Real Betis are likely to score again at the Franchi, making Fiorentina’s comeback even more challenging.
However, Palladino’s side also has weapons of its own. Left-back Robin Gosens, who assisted Ranieri’s goal in the first leg, offers a strong attacking threat, while Moise Kean, who is expected to start this time, brings pace and verticality to their forward play.
Given both teams’ attacking style and recent scoring records, the BetMines algorithm prediction for Fiorentina vs Real Betis anticipates a high-tempo match with goals from both sides.
FIORENTINA (3-5-2): De Gea; Pongracic, Comuzzo, Ranieri; Dodo, Mandragora, Adli, Fagioli, Gosens; Gudmundsson, Kean. Manager: Raffaele Palladino
REAL BETIS (4-2-3-1): Fran Vieites; Ruibal, Bartra, Natan, Perraud; Cardoso, Fornals; Antony, Isco, Ezzalzouli; Bakambu. Manager: Manuel Pellegrini
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Fiorentina
Real Betis
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
7
3
4
6
3.5
9
1
6
4
4.5
10
0
8
2