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Prediction published on Apr 24, 2026 2:02 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Apr 24, 2026 2:02 PM
The upcoming Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Sassuolo promises to be a lively encounter as both sides aim to consolidate their positions in the league table. The match, part of the 34th round, will take place at the Artemio Franchi, where the home side look to extend their unbeaten streak and continue their climb away from the lower end of the standings. Fiorentina, currently 15th with 36 points, have shown signs of recovery under their current management, while Sassuolo, sitting 10th with 45 points, continue to impress in what has been a strong season for the newly promoted side.
Fiorentina approach this fixture in good spirits after a 1-1 draw against Lecce on April 20, extending their unbeaten run to six league matches. Their recent record shows three wins, one draw, and one defeat in the last five outings, averaging one goal scored and one conceded per game. Over the course of the season, the Viola have recorded 8 wins, 12 draws, and 13 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.
One of the most notable aspects of Fiorentina’s campaign has been their consistency in the second half of matches — over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in 27 of their last 30 league games. The team’s home form has also improved, with back-to-back positive results at the Franchi, including a 1-0 win over Lazio. Their attacking setup remains dynamic, with multiple players contributing to the scoresheet in recent weeks. In fact, the last eight Serie A goals by Fiorentina have come from eight different players, underlining the collective nature of their offensive play.
Despite their elimination from European competition, Fiorentina’s focus on domestic results has paid off. The squad’s balance between experienced defenders and energetic midfielders has allowed them to maintain control in key moments. The home crowd will expect another solid performance, especially given that Fiorentina have won their last two home meetings against Sassuolo in Serie A.
Sassuolo continue to impress in their return to the top flight, currently occupying 10th place with 45 points. They come into this match after a 2-1 victory over Como on April 17, a result that kept them in the top half of the table. Their recent form shows two wins, one draw, and two defeats in the last five matches, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Over the season, Sassuolo have registered 13 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses, maintaining a steady scoring rate of 1.2 goals per match while conceding 1.3 on average.
One of the defining traits of Sassuolo’s season has been their attacking intent from the start of games. Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the first half of each of their last 13 Serie A fixtures, though they have also shown vulnerability early on, having lost at half time in six of their last ten matches. Defensively, the team has struggled to maintain clean sheets, particularly in the opening 15 minutes, where they have conceded more goals than any other side in the league.
Despite these defensive lapses, Sassuolo’s offensive trio has been effective, with multiple players contributing to their goal tally. Their ability to create chances from wide areas and capitalize on set pieces has been a key factor in their success. The team’s away performances have been mixed, but their resilience and attacking depth make them a dangerous opponent for any side, especially one still finding consistency like Fiorentina.
The recent history between Fiorentina and Sassuolo suggests a high-scoring affair. The last five meetings have produced an average of 3.6 goals per game, with Fiorentina winning three and losing two. Their most recent encounter ended 3-1 in favor of Fiorentina on December 6, 2025. In ten of the last eleven league clashes between these sides, both teams have found the net, reinforcing the expectation of an open and entertaining contest.
Fiorentina’s attacking variety and Sassuolo’s proactive style could lead to another match filled with chances. The home side’s recent defensive improvements might be tested by Sassuolo’s quick transitions and pressing game. On the other hand, Fiorentina’s ability to score through multiple players gives them a tactical edge, especially when playing in front of their supporters. The midfield battle will likely determine the rhythm of the game, with both teams looking to control possession and exploit spaces behind the opposing defense.
Given the statistical trends and the offensive potential on both sides, this fixture has all the ingredients for a balanced yet goal-rich encounter. Fiorentina’s home advantage and current momentum could make the difference, but Sassuolo’s attacking efficiency ensures that the visitors remain a constant threat throughout the 90 minutes.
FIORENTINA (4-3-3): De Gea; Dodò, Rugani, Ranieri, Balbo; Ndour, Fagioli, Mandragora; Harrison, Piccoli, Gudmundsson.
SASSUOLO (4-3-3): Muric; Walukiewicz, Idzes, Muharemovic, Doig; Thorstvedt, Matic, Koné; Volpato, Pinamonti, Laurienté.
All indicators point toward a competitive and entertaining match. Fiorentina’s recent unbeaten run and solid home form contrast with Sassuolo’s attacking consistency and occasional defensive fragility. Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede regularly, and their head-to-head record strongly supports the likelihood of goals at both ends.
According to the latest data, the probability of a Fiorentina win (1) stands at 48%, with a Draw (X) and Sassuolo win (2) both at 26%. The Both Teams To Score – Yes market is favored at 54%, while Over 2.5 goals also carries a 54% probability. These figures align with the attacking profiles of both sides and their recent performances.
Fiorentina vs Sassuolo prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
7
3
4
6
3.5
9
1
9
1
4.5
10
0
9
1